Home / Premier League Projections Premier League / Hull vs Brentford Hull vs Brentford

HULLHULL

2-3-2  |  Home

1
FINAL
Sun, Oct 25 • 10:00 AM ET
The MKM Stadium

BRENTFORDBRENTFORD

2-4-1  |  Away

1
AI Model Win Probability
HULL
40%
DRAW
21%
BRENTFORD
40%
▲ Edge: +30.90% (Hull City)
19% Book Odds: +424
DRAW 24% Book Odds: +317
60% Book Odds: -152
Book Implied: 19.10% / 24% / 60.30%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
2.75
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +1.3 (Over)
Over 2.75 63%
Under 2.75 37%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
0.0
HULL
Book Goal Line
+0.75
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 goals (Hull)
HullHull (+0.8) 0 BrentfordBrentford (-0.8)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

42.4% / 57.6%

Shots (On Goal)

12(2) / 14(6)

Corners

5 / 6

Cards (Y/R)

0/0 - 1/0

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

50.0%

Cover

50.0%

-4.5-3-1.50+1.5+3+4.5
Distribution centered around Hull City 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Hull City)

Hull City By 1 goal

21.1%

Hull City By 2+ goals

15.9%

Brentford By 1 goal

21.1%

Brentford By 2+ goals

15.9%

AI Model Projected Score
2
HULL
Book Implied: 1
2
BRENTFORD
Book Implied: 1.80
Simulated Score
1
HULL
Book Implied: 1
2
BRENTFORD
Book Implied: 1.80
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Draw Win
42% Win Prob
A
Sim Brentford Loss
62% Win Prob
C
Goal Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Hull City (+0.75) Win
Proj Goals: 0.0
C
Sim Brentford (-0.75) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI o2.75 Loss
Proj Total: 4.0
C
Sim o2.8 Loss
Proj Total: 3.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 25, 2026 Hull vs Brentford 1 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Wins (L5) +200.0% more
Brentford: 2.0 vs Hull: 0.0
Losses (L5) +200.0% more
Brentford: 1.0 vs Hull: 3.0
Goals Scored (L5) +100.0% more
Brentford: 10.0 vs Hull: 5.0
Goals Conceded (L5) +14.3% more
Brentford: 7.0 vs Hull: 8.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Brentford Score 2.0 1
Hull City Score 2.0 1
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 39.6% Draw: 20.7% Away Win: 39.6%
Hull City (Home) vs Brentford (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 76.2% Under 2.5: 23.8%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 4.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Hull City Share: 50.0% Brentford Share: 50.0%
AI Projected Score 2.0 - 2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Hull City
Brentford
Hull City
Brentford
ML
62% 5-3
62% 5-3
38% 3-5
0% 0-8
ATS
83% 5-1-2
82% 4-1-2
38% 2-4-1
27% 1-4-2
TTL
53% 4-3
54% 3-3-1
14% 1-6-1
69% 4-2-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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