Home / NFL Projections NFL / Giants @ Eagles NYG @ PHI

NEW YORK

GIANTSNYG

5-2-1  |  Road

19
FINAL
Sun, Nov 8 • 1:00 PM ET
Lincoln Financial Field
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

EAGLESPHI

2-7  |  Home

11
Key Game
Jordan Stout
KEY GAME

Jordan Stout

#15 | Punter
@
Jake Elliott
KEY GAME

Jake Elliott

#4 | Place kicker
Player
Jordan Stout None-None
Jake Elliott None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
37%
📊
EAGLES
63%
▲ Edge: +19.20% (PHI)
GIANTS 59% Book Odds: -141
EAGLES 44% Book Odds: +128
Book Implied: 58.50% / 43.90%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
43.5
Projected
Book Total
37.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 (Over)
Over 37.5 68%
Under 37.5 32%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
+3
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.5 points (Philadelphia)
GiantsNYG (-3) 0 EaglesPHI (+3)
Philadelphia Eagles (+3) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Giants Cover

45.7%

Eagles Cover

54.3%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around PHI -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

NYG By 1-6 points

15.9%

NYG By 7-13 points

14.2%

PHI By 1-6 points

16.8%

PHI By 7-13 points

16.5%

AI Model Projected Score
21
NEW YORK
Book Implied: 20.20
22.5
PHILADELPHIA
Book Implied: 17.20
Simulated Score
21
NEW YORK
Book Implied: 20.20
19
PHILADELPHIA
Book Implied: 17.20
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Eagles Loss
63% Win Prob
B
Sim Giants Win
59% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Eagles (+3) Loss
Proj Spread: -1.5
B
Sim Eagles (+3) Loss
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI o37.5 Loss
Proj Total: 43.5
A
Sim o37.5 Loss
Proj Total: 40.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 8, 2026 NYG @ PHI 19 - 11
Oct 26, 2025 NYG @ PHI 20 - 38
Oct 9, 2025 PHI @ NYG 17 - 34
Jan 5, 2025 NYG @ PHI 13 - 20
Oct 20, 2024 PHI @ NYG 28 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +33.6% more
New York: 129.9 vs Philadelphia: 86.2
Total Yards (L5) +31.4% more
New York: 388.9 vs Philadelphia: 266.8
Turnovers (L5) +31.3% more
New York: 1.6 vs Philadelphia: 1.1
Net Passing Yards (L5) +30.3% more
New York: 259.0 vs Philadelphia: 180.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYG Score 21.0 19
PHI Score 22.5 11
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 17.6 / 22.0 13.0 / 15.0
Net Passing Yards 180.6 / 259.0 128.0 / 163.0
Rushing Yards 86.2 / 129.9 92.0 / 80.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.28 / 0.35
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.42 / 0.58
Total Yards 266.8 / 388.9 220.0 / 243.0
Turnovers 1.1 / 1.6 1.0 / 1.0
Yards Per Play 4.2 / 5.7 3.3 / 3.8
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +195 / -238 → -141 / +128 ↓
80%TICKETS20%
71%MONEY29%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +5.5 / -5.5 → -3 / +3 ↓
63%TICKETS37%
48%MONEY52%
Total (O/U)
Open: 44.5 → 37.5 ↓
78%TICKETS22%
55%MONEY45%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYG Advantage
5-3-1 (62.5%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +3.0
PHI
2-7-0 (22.2%)
Margin: -8.1 ATS +/-: -6.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYG Advantage
6-3-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +3.0
PHI
1-8-0 (11.1%)
Margin: -8.1 ATS +/-: -6.9
⚖️ Over/Under
NYG
6-3-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +1.6
PHI
4-5-0
O: 44.4% / U: 55.6% Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
NYG
PHI
NYG
ML
44% 4-5
33% 3-6
56% 5-4
62% 5-3-1
ATS
22% 2-7
67% 6-3
56% 5-4
67% 6-3
TTL
38% 3-5-1
56% 5-4
50% 4-4-1
44% 4-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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