VANCOUVER
CANUCKSVAN
3-10-1 | Road
6
ANAHEIM
DUCKSANA
5-6-1 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Leevi Merilainen
#31 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Lukas Dostal
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leevi Merilainen | None-None | 4.78 | 0.783 | -- |
| Lukas Dostal | None-None | 5.55 | 0.818 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.78 Ldr
GAA
5.55
0.783
Save %
Ldr 0.818
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
CANUCKS
25%
DUCKS
75%
▲ Edge: +7.70% (ANA)
CANUCKS
35%
Book Odds: +187
DUCKS
68%
Book Odds: -211
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.5
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
Over 6.5
50%
Under 6.5
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.5
VANCOUVER
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VAN +1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VAN)
VAN By 1 goal
9.2%
VAN By 2-3 goals
6.1%
ANA By 1 goal
19.1%
ANA By 2-3 goals
34.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Vancouver
2.5
VANCOUVER
Book Implied: 2.50
Anaheim
4
ANAHEIM
Book Implied: 4
Simulated Score
Vancouver
2
VANCOUVER
Book Implied: 2.50
Anaheim
3
ANAHEIM
Book Implied: 4
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Ducks
Loss
75% Win Prob
A
Sim
Ducks
Loss
69% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Canucks (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: +1.5
D
Sim
Canucks (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 6.5
D
Sim
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2026
ANA @ VAN
5 - 4
Oct 27, 2026
VAN @ ANA
6 - 5
Apr 12, 2026
VAN @ ANA
4 - 3
Mar 24, 2026
ANA @ VAN
5 - 3
Jan 29, 2026
ANA @ VAN
0 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+38.5% more
Anaheim: 23.0
vs
Vancouver: 16.6
Hits (L5)
+26.0% more
Anaheim: 28.4
vs
Vancouver: 22.5
Blocked Shots (L5)
+11.6% more
Anaheim: 15.1
vs
Vancouver: 13.6
Takeaways (L5)
+35.3% more
Vancouver: 4.8
vs
Anaheim: 3.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VAN Score
2.5
6
ANA Score
4.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.1 / 13.6
12.0 / 9.0
Faceoff %
46.6 / 49.4
63.2 / 36.8
Hits
28.4 / 22.5
19.0 / 25.0
Power Play %
11.7 / 20.5
50.0 / 14.3
Shots on Goal
23.0 / 16.6
23.0 / 33.0
Takeaways
3.1 / 4.8
5.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +164 / -198
→
+187 / -211
↑
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 6.5
→
6.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ANA
VAN
ANA
VAN
ML
45%
9-11
86%
18-3
45%
9-11
71%
15-6
ATS
30%
6-14
57%
12-9
50%
10-10
43%
9-12
TTL
37%
7-12-1
52%
11-10
26%
5-14-1
52%
11-10
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