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FLORIDA

PANTHERSFLA

7-4-2  |  Road

5
FINAL
Tue, Oct 27 • 8:00 PM ET
Canada Life Centre
View Odds Details →

WINNIPEG

JETSWPG

4-5-3  |  Home

1
Goaltending
Akira Schmid
GOALTENDER

Akira Schmid

#40 | Goaltender
@
Clay Stevenson
GOALTENDER

Clay Stevenson

#33 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Akira Schmid None-None 1.00 0.960 --
Clay Stevenson None-None 5.00 0.792 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.00 Ldr GAA 5.00
0.960 Ldr Save % 0.792
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
52%
📊
JETS
48%
PANTHERS 56% Book Odds: -125
JETS 49% Book Odds: +105
Book Implied: 55.60% / 48.80%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 6.5 50%
Under 6.5 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
FLORIDA
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Florida)
PanthersFLA (-1.5) 0 JetsWPG (+1.5)
Florida Panthers (-1.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

78.8%

Jets Cover

21.2%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around FLA -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)

FLA By 1 goal

18.9%

FLA By 2-3 goals

34.9%

WPG By 1 goal

8.6%

WPG By 2-3 goals

5.5%

AI Model Projected Score
3.8
FLORIDA
Book Implied: 4
2.2
WINNIPEG
Book Implied: 2.50
Simulated Score
4
FLORIDA
Book Implied: 4
2
WINNIPEG
Book Implied: 2.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Panthers Win
52% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Win
84% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.6
D
Sim Panthers (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 30, 2026 WPG @ FLA 2 - 5
Oct 27, 2026 FLA @ WPG 5 - 1
Jan 31, 2026 WPG @ FLA 2 - 1
Jan 22, 2026 FLA @ WPG 2 - 1
Nov 19, 2024 FLA @ WPG 3 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +18.2% more
Florida: 32.5 vs Winnipeg: 26.6
Power Play % (L5) +16.8%
Florida: 22.4% vs Winnipeg: 5.6%
Takeaways (L5) +36.7% more
Winnipeg: 5.1 vs Florida: 3.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
FLA Score 3.8 5
WPG Score 2.2 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 12.1 / 11.8 9.0 / 10.0
Faceoff % 45.4 / 46.2 42.9 / 57.1
Hits 26.6 / 32.5 23.0 / 28.0
Power Play % 5.6 / 22.4 0.0 / 60.0
Shots on Goal 28.1 / 29.3 25.0 / 24.0
Takeaways 5.1 / 3.8 7.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -130 / +110 → -125 / +105 ↑
80%TICKETS20%
67%MONEY33%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5 → -1.5 / +1.5
22%TICKETS78%
34%MONEY66%
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5 → 6.5 ↑
84%TICKETS16%
83%MONEY17%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WPG
FLA
WPG
FLA
ML
57% 12-9
62% 13-8
52% 11-10
57% 12-9
ATS
29% 6-15
48% 10-11
67% 14-7
52% 11-10
TTL
52% 11-10
48% 10-11
43% 9-12
57% 12-9
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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