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DETROIT

PISTONSDET

3-1  |  Road

97
FINAL
Tue, Oct 27 • 8:00 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

1-3  |  Home

111
Key Game
Ebuka Okorie
KEY GAME

Ebuka Okorie

#23 | Guard
@
Jaden Akins
KEY GAME

Jaden Akins

#14 | Guard
Player
Ebuka Okorie None-None
Jaden Akins None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
PISTONS
37%
📊
KNICKS
63%
▲ Edge: +2% (NY)
PISTONS 40% Book Odds: +150
KNICKS 62% Book Odds: -160
Book Implied: 40% / 61.50%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
218.0
Projected
Book Total
220.5
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +2.5 (Under)
Over 220.5 46%
Under 220.5 54%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
-4.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (New York)
PistonsDET (+4.5) 0 KnicksNY (-4.5)
New York Knicks (-4.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pistons Cover

30.9%

Knicks Cover

69.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NY -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)

DET By 1-7 points

18.6%

DET By 8-14 points

8.0%

NY By 1-7 points

27.2%

NY By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
106.5
DETROIT
Book Implied: 108
111.5
NEW YORK
Book Implied: 112.50
Simulated Score
99
DETROIT
Book Implied: 108
106
NEW YORK
Book Implied: 112.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Knicks Win
63% Win Prob
B
Sim Knicks Win
69% Win Prob
A
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Knicks (-4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim Knicks (-4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI u220.5 Win
Proj Total: 218.0
C
Sim u220.5 Win
Proj Total: 205.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 27, 2026 DET @ NY 97 - 111
Feb 19, 2026 DET @ NY 126 - 111
Feb 6, 2026 NY @ DET 80 - 118
Jan 5, 2026 NY @ DET 90 - 121
May 1, 2025 NY @ DET 116 - 113
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +44.5% more
Detroit: 7.7 vs New York: 4.3
Turnovers (L5) +29.2% more
Detroit: 14.9 vs New York: 10.6
Assists (L5) +11.1% more
Detroit: 26.8 vs New York: 23.9
Turnovers (L5) +10.0% more
Detroit: 17.4 vs New York: 15.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DET Score 106.5 97
NY Score 111.5 111
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.9 / 40.7 33.0 / 24.0
Assists 23.9 / 26.8 28.0 / 23.0
Blocks 4.3 / 7.7 2.0 / 11.0
Field Goal % 41.8 / 46.1 43.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 72.0 / 74.9 82.0 / 58.0
Rebounding 46.1 / 49.2 49.0 / 45.0
Steals 7.2 / 6.8 10.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 15.7 / 17.4 18.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +136 / -162 → +150 / -160
36%TICKETS64%
40%MONEY60%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +3.5 / -3.5 → +4.5 / -4.5 ↑
74%TICKETS26%
68%MONEY32%
Total (O/U)
Open: 218.5 → 220.5 ↑
79%TICKETS21%
80%MONEY20%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET Advantage
8-4-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 5.4 ATS +/-: +1.0
NY
6-6-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 6.1 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET Advantage
7-5-0 (58.3%)
Margin: 5.4 ATS +/-: +1.0
NY
4-8-0 (33.3%)
Margin: 6.1 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
7-5-0
O: 58.3% / U: 41.7% Total +/-: +4.6
NY
3-9-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -11.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
DET
NY
DET
ML
50% 6-6
75% 9-3
58% 7-5
75% 9-3
ATS
25% 3-9
67% 8-4
67% 8-4
75% 9-3
TTL
50% 6-6
42% 5-7
58% 7-5
67% 8-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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