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RACINGRACING

2-2-5  |  Home

2
FINAL
Sat, Oct 24 • 10:15 AM ET
El Sardineros

ESPANYOLESPANYOL

2-2-5  |  Away

1
AI Model Win Probability
RACING
35%
DRAW
31%
ESPANYOL
35%
▲ Edge: +16.10% (Espanyol)
44% Book Odds: +130
DRAW --
34% Book Odds: +195
Book Implied: 43.50% / % / 33.90%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
2.0
Projected
Book Total
2.5
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 2.5 47%
Under 2.5 53%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
0.0
ESPANYOL
Book Goal Line
+0.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 goals (Espanyol)
RacingRacing (-0.5) 0 EspanyolEspanyol (+0.5)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

54.9% / 45.1%

Shots (On Goal)

23(9) / 11(1)

Corners

9 / 4

Cards (Y/R)

3/0 - 4/0

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

50.0%

Cover

50.0%

+4.5+3+1.50-1.5-3-4.5
Distribution centered around Espanyol 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Espanyol)

Racing Santander By 1 goal

21.1%

Racing Santander By 2+ goals

15.9%

Espanyol By 1 goal

21.1%

Espanyol By 2+ goals

15.9%

AI Model Projected Score
1
RACING
Book Implied: 1.50
1
ESPANYOL
Book Implied: 1
Simulated Score
2
RACING
Book Implied: 1.50
1
ESPANYOL
Book Implied: 1
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Racing Santander Loss
38% Win Prob
D
Sim Racing Santander Win
61% Win Prob
C
Goal Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Espanyol (+0.25) Loss
Proj Goals: 0.0
C
Sim Racing Santander (-0.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI u3.0 Loss
Proj Total: 2.0
D
Sim u2.5 Loss
Proj Total: 3.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 24, 2026 Racing vs Espanyol 2 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Goals Conceded (L5) +142.9% more
Espanyol: 7.0 vs Racing: 17.0
Goals Scored (L5) +20.0% more
Racing: 6.0 vs Espanyol: 5.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Espanyol Score 1.0 1
Racing Santander Score 1.0 2
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 34.6% Draw: 30.9% Away Win: 34.6%
Racing Santander (Home) vs Espanyol (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 32.3% Under 2.5: 67.7%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 2.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Racing Santander Share: 50.0% Espanyol Share: 50.0%
AI Projected Score 1.0 - 1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Racing Santander
Espanyol
Racing Santander
Espanyol
ML
30% 3-7
60% 6-4
70% 7-3
50% 5-5
ATS
30% 3-7
67% 6-3-1
80% 8-2
44% 4-5-1
TTL
40% 4-6
41% 3-5-1
37% 3-6
53% 4-4-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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