Home / Premier League Projections Premier League / Coventry vs Fulham Coventry vs Fulham

COVENTRYCOVENTRY

2-0-5  |  Home

0
FINAL
Sat, Oct 24 • 10:00 AM ET
Coventry Building Society Arena

FULHAMFULHAM

1-2-4  |  Away

1
AI Model Win Probability
COVENTRY
9%
DRAW
13%
FULHAM
78%
▲ Edge: +30.20% (Fulham)
30% Book Odds: +229
DRAW 28% Book Odds: +252
44% Book Odds: +127
Book Implied: 30.40% / 28.40% / 44.10%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
2.75
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +1.3 (Over)
Over 2.75 76%
Under 2.75 24%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
-2.0
FULHAM
Book Goal Line
-0.25
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.8 goals (Fulham)
CoventryCoventry (+0.2) 0 FulhamFulham (-0.2)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

36.0% / 64.0%

Shots (On Goal)

13(2) / 12(3)

Corners

4 / 6

Cards (Y/R)

0/0 - 2/0

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

9.1%

Cover

90.9%

+4.5+3+1.50-1.5-3-4.5
Distribution centered around Fulham -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Fulham)

Coventry City By 1 goal

3.8%

Coventry City By 2+ goals

1.0%

Fulham By 1 goal

21.1%

Fulham By 2+ goals

63.1%

AI Model Projected Score
1
COVENTRY
Book Implied: 1.20
3
FULHAM
Book Implied: 1.50
Simulated Score
1
COVENTRY
Book Implied: 1.20
2
FULHAM
Book Implied: 1.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Fulham Win
74% Win Prob
B
Sim Fulham Win
62% Win Prob
C
Goal Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Fulham (-0.25) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Sim Fulham (-0.25) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI o2.75 Loss
Proj Total: 4.0
A
Sim o2.8 Loss
Proj Total: 3.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 24, 2026 Coventry vs Fulham 0 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Draws (L5) +200.0% more
Fulham: 2.0 vs Coventry: 0.0
Losses (L5) +200.0% more
Fulham: 1.0 vs Coventry: 3.0
Goals Conceded (L5) +140.0% more
Fulham: 5.0 vs Coventry: 12.0
Goals Scored (L5) +16.7% more
Coventry: 7.0 vs Fulham: 6.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Fulham Score 3.0 1
Coventry City Score 1.0 0
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 9.4% Draw: 13.1% Away Win: 77.5%
Coventry City (Home) vs Fulham (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 76.2% Under 2.5: 23.8%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 4.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Coventry City Share: 25.0% Fulham Share: 75.0%
AI Projected Score 1.0 - 3.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Coventry City
Fulham
Coventry City
Fulham
ML
75% 6-2
50% 4-4
62% 5-3
50% 4-4
ATS
50% 4-4
53% 4-3
50% 4-4
47% 3-4
TTL
43% 3-4-1
60% 4-3
29% 2-5-1
47% 3-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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