Home / NHL Projections NHL / Red Wings @ Oilers DET @ EDM

DETROIT

RED WINGSDET

5-4-3  |  Road

4
FINAL
Mon, Oct 26 • 9:30 PM ET
Rogers Place
View Odds Details →

EDMONTON

OILERSEDM

8-2-2  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Michal Postava
GOALTENDER

Michal Postava

#35 | Goaltender
@
Tristan Jarry
GOALTENDER

Tristan Jarry

#35 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Michal Postava None-None 2.84 0.893 --
Tristan Jarry None-None 2.77 0.897 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.84 GAA Ldr 2.77
0.893 Save % Ldr 0.897
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
RED WINGS
32%
📊
OILERS
68%
▲ Edge: +5.60% (EDM)
RED WINGS 40% Book Odds: +149
OILERS 62% Book Odds: -166
Book Implied: 40.20% / 62.40%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.5
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
Over 6.5 50%
Under 6.5 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.5
DETROIT
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
Red WingsDET (+1.5) 0 OilersEDM (-1.5)
Line aligns with book spread (+1.5)
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Red Wings Cover

77.3%

Oilers Cover

22.7%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DET +1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)

DET By 1 goal

9.2%

DET By 2-3 goals

6.1%

EDM By 1 goal

19.1%

EDM By 2-3 goals

34.1%

AI Model Projected Score
2.5
DETROIT
Book Implied: 2.50
4
EDMONTON
Book Implied: 4
Simulated Score
4
DETROIT
Book Implied: 2.50
3
EDMONTON
Book Implied: 4
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Oilers Loss
68% Win Prob
B
Sim Red Wings Win
70% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Red Wings (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: +1.5
D
Sim Red Wings (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 6.5
D
Sim o6.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 26, 2026 DET @ EDM 4 - 3
Dec 11, 2025 DET @ EDM 1 - 4
Oct 19, 2025 EDM @ DET 2 - 4
Jan 30, 2025 DET @ EDM 3 - 2
Oct 27, 2024 EDM @ DET 3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +30.9% more
Edmonton: 28.0 vs Detroit: 21.4
Power Play % (L5) +29.2%
Edmonton: 45.9% vs Detroit: 16.8%
Blocked Shots (L5) +10.5% more
Edmonton: 14.1 vs Detroit: 12.7
Takeaways (L5) +27.8% more
Detroit: 4.4 vs Edmonton: 3.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DET Score 2.5 4
EDM Score 4.0 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 14.1 / 12.7 14.0 / 11.0
Faceoff % 48.2 / 50.3 44.3 / 55.7
Hits 28.0 / 21.4 25.0 / 33.0
Power Play % 45.9 / 16.8 33.3 / 25.0
Shots on Goal 26.6 / 28.6 28.0 / 29.0
Takeaways 3.1 / 4.4 6.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +154 / -185 → +149 / -166 ↓
8%TICKETS92%
3%MONEY97%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5 → +1.5 / -1.5
38%TICKETS62%
11%MONEY89%
Total (O/U)
Open: 6.5 → 6.5
90%TICKETS10%
93%MONEY7%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EDM
DET
EDM
DET
ML
65% 13-7
70% 14-6
60% 12-8
55% 11-9
ATS
55% 11-9
35% 7-13
45% 9-11
60% 12-8
TTL
30% 6-14
32% 6-13-1
40% 8-12
53% 10-9-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Red Wings' Early Season Reality Check: Two Truths and a Lie
yahoo 18 hours, 59 minutes ago
Carter Bear's AHL Hot Streak Raises Questions About Red Wings' O…
yahoo 1 day, 12 hours ago
Bouchard's Overtime Heroics Lift Oilers to Third Straight Win
thetelegraph 2 days ago
Saros Shines with 30-Save Shutout as Predators Blank Kings After…
tennessean 2 days, 18 hours ago
Blues' Dalibor Dvorsky Benched in Win Over Red Wings as Coach De…
yahoo 3 days ago