MEMPHIS
GRIZZLIESMEM
4-0 | Road
110
UTAH
JAZZUTAH
1-3 | Home
105
Key Game
KEY GAME
Cam Spencer
#24 | Guard@
KEY GAME
Isaiah Collier
#8 | Guard| Player | |
|---|---|
| Cam Spencer | None-None |
| Isaiah Collier | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
GRIZZLIES
57%
JAZZ
43%
▲ Edge: +4.60% (MEM)
GRIZZLIES
52%
Book Odds: -110
JAZZ
50%
Book Odds: -101
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
244.0
Projected
Book Total
237.5
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +6.5 (Over)
Over 237.5
64%
Under 237.5
36%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.6
MEMPHIS
Book Spread
-1
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.6 points (Memphis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MEM -3.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MEM)
MEM By 1-7 points
27.3%
MEM By 8-14 points
21.0%
UTAH By 1-7 points
20.7%
UTAH By 8-14 points
9.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Memphis
123.8
MEMPHIS
Book Implied: 119.20
Utah
120.2
UTAH
Book Implied: 118.20
Simulated Score
Memphis
102
MEMPHIS
Book Implied: 119.20
Utah
111
UTAH
Book Implied: 118.20
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Grizzlies
Win
57% Win Prob
C
Sim
Jazz
Loss
74% Win Prob
A
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Grizzlies (-1)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.6
C
Sim
Jazz (+1)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
o237.5
Loss
Proj Total: 244.0
B
Sim
u237.5
Win
Proj Total: 213.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 26, 2026
MEM @ UTAH
110 - 105
Oct 21, 2026
UTAH @ MEM
103 - 123
Apr 10, 2026
MEM @ UTAH
101 - 147
Feb 20, 2026
UTAH @ MEM
114 - 123
Dec 23, 2025
MEM @ UTAH
137 - 128
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+17.6% more
Memphis: 5.6
vs
Utah: 4.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+10.4%
Memphis: 83.0%
vs
Utah: 72.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.0%
Memphis: 35.9%
vs
Utah: 31.9%
Assists (L5)
+19.8% more
Utah: 29.7
vs
Memphis: 24.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MEM Score
123.8
110
UTAH Score
120.2
105
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.9 / 35.9
30.0 / 43.0
Assists
29.7 / 24.8
25.0 / 26.0
Blocks
4.7 / 5.6
8.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
48.0 / 44.6
41.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
72.6 / 83.0
76.0 / 91.0
Rebounding
46.2 / 47.9
49.0 / 42.0
Steals
7.9 / 7.2
3.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
16.9 / 16.8
14.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -105 / -115
→
-110 / -101
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
-1 / +1
↓
Total (O/U)
Open: 237.5
→
237.5
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MEM
Advantage
8-4-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 8.1
ATS +/-: +7.2
UTAH
1-12-0
(7.7%)
Margin: -11.2
ATS +/-: -3.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MEM
Advantage
8-4-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 8.1
ATS +/-: +7.2
UTAH
3-10-0
(23.1%)
Margin: -11.2
ATS +/-: -3.8
⚖️ Over/Under
MEM
6-6-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.6
UTAH
4-9-0
O: 30.8% / U: 69.2%
Total +/-: -4.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
MEM
UTAH
MEM
ML
92%
12-1
58%
7-5
69%
9-4
42%
5-7
ATS
69%
9-4
58%
7-5
31%
4-9
42%
5-7
TTL
46%
6-7
42%
5-7
46%
6-7
33%
4-8
Contextual Game News
