Home / NBA Projections NBA / Bulls @ Celtics CHI @ BOS

CHICAGO

BULLSCHI

1-3  |  Road

99
FINAL
Mon, Oct 26 • 7:30 PM ET
TD Garden
View Odds Details →

BOSTON

CELTICSBOS

2-1  |  Home

134
Key Game
Jaylin Sellers
KEY GAME

Jaylin Sellers

#22 | Guard
@
Hugo Gonzalez
KEY GAME

Hugo Gonzalez

#28 | Guard
Player
Jaylin Sellers None-None
Hugo Gonzalez None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
17%
📊
CELTICS
83%
BULLS 17% Book Odds: +475
CELTICS 85% Book Odds: -575
Book Implied: 17.40% / 85.20%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
233.5
Projected
Book Total
233.5
Over / Under Line
Over 233.5 49%
Under 233.5 51%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+11.5
CHICAGO
Book Spread
+14.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Chicago)
BullsCHI (+14.5) 0 CelticsBOS (-14.5)
Chicago Bulls (+14.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bulls Cover

87.5%

Celtics Cover

12.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHI +11.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)

CHI By 1-7 points

8.6%

CHI By 8-14 points

2.4%

BOS By 1-7 points

20.9%

BOS By 8-14 points

27.3%

AI Model Projected Score
111
CHICAGO
Book Implied: 109.50
122.5
BOSTON
Book Implied: 124
Simulated Score
96
CHICAGO
Book Implied: 109.50
108
BOSTON
Book Implied: 124
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Celtics Win
83% Win Prob
A
Sim Celtics Win
80% Win Prob
A
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bulls (+14.5) Loss
Proj Spread: +11.5
B
Sim Bulls (+14.5) Loss
Proj Spread: +12.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI u233.5 Win
Proj Total: 233.5
D
Sim u233.5 Win
Proj Total: 204.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 30, 2026 CHI @ BOS 111 - 125
Oct 26, 2026 CHI @ BOS 99 - 134
Feb 11, 2026 CHI @ BOS 105 - 124
Jan 24, 2026 BOS @ CHI 111 - 114
Jan 5, 2026 CHI @ BOS 101 - 115
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +25.3% more
Boston: 4.6 vs Chicago: 3.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +10.3%
Boston: 35.5% vs Chicago: 25.3%
Turnovers (L5) +27.8% more
Chicago: 15.8 vs Boston: 11.4
Steals (L5) +27.5% more
Chicago: 9.6 vs Boston: 7.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHI Score 111.0 99
BOS Score 122.5 134
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.5 / 25.3 48.0 / 27.0
Assists 24.2 / 25.4 26.0 / 20.0
Blocks 4.6 / 3.6 4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 44.1 / 43.4 49.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 74.1 / 84.7 72.0 / 68.0
Rebounding 41.6 / 46.1 54.0 / 40.0
Steals 7.0 / 9.6 14.0 / 12.0
Turnovers 11.4 / 15.8 25.0 / 25.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +470 / -710 → +475 / -575 ↓
6%TICKETS94%
5%MONEY95%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +13.5 / -13.5 → +14.5 / -14.5 ↑
55%TICKETS45%
50%MONEY50%
Total (O/U)
Open: 233 → 233.5 ↑
73%TICKETS27%
74%MONEY26%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
2-9-0 (18.2%)
Margin: -13.4 ATS +/-: -4.2
BOS Advantage
10-2-0 (83.3%)
Margin: 11.2 ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
6-5-0 (54.6%)
Margin: -13.4 ATS +/-: -4.2
BOS Advantage
7-5-0 (58.3%)
Margin: 11.2 ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
5-6-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +3.6
BOS
3-9-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -4.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
CHI
BOS
CHI
ML
92% 11-1
73% 8-3
100% 12-0
73% 8-3
ATS
64% 7-4-1
30% 3-7-1
36% 4-7-1
20% 2-8-1
TTL
25% 3-9
45% 5-6
42% 5-7
55% 6-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Brett Yormark Trades Big 12 for Milan: New CEO Role at RedBird-B…
yahoo 12 hours, 23 minutes ago
Titans' Carnell Tate Sidelined Again: Fantasy Football Sleepers …
si 12 hours, 25 minutes ago
Bucks Seek to End Skid in NBA Cup Matchup Against Magic
si 12 hours, 31 minutes ago
Zion Williamson Calls Pelicans' Historic Defensive Collapse 'Una…
yahoo 1 day, 12 hours ago
Kings Eye Gabe Vincent to Fill Ben Simmons Void, Add Veteran Dep…
yahoo 1 day, 18 hours ago