MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
3-1 | Road
125
CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
2-1 | Home
127
Key Game
KEY GAME
Bones Hyland
#8 | Guard@
KEY GAME
Meleek Thomas
#15 | Guard| Player | |
|---|---|
| Bones Hyland | None-None |
| Meleek Thomas | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
TIMBERWOLVES
40%
CAVALIERS
60%
▲ Edge: +0.20% (CLE)
TIMBERWOLVES
43%
Book Odds: +135
CAVALIERS
60%
Book Odds: -147
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
226.6
Projected
Book Total
234.0
Over / Under Line
▼
Edge: +7.4 (Under)
Over 234.0
34%
Under 234.0
66%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
+3.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIN +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
MIN By 1-7 points
21.6%
MIN By 8-14 points
10.7%
CLE By 1-7 points
27.2%
CLE By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
111.8
MINNESOTA
Book Implied: 115.20
Cleveland
114.8
CLEVELAND
Book Implied: 118.80
Simulated Score
Minnesota
100
MINNESOTA
Book Implied: 115.20
Cleveland
106
CLEVELAND
Book Implied: 118.80
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cavaliers
Win
60% Win Prob
C
Sim
Cavaliers
Win
66% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Timberwolves (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim
Cavaliers (-3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
u234.0
Loss
Proj Total: 226.6
A
Sim
u234.0
Loss
Proj Total: 206.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 26, 2026
MIN @ CLE
125 - 127
Jan 10, 2026
MIN @ CLE
134 - 146
Jan 8, 2026
CLE @ MIN
122 - 131
Feb 10, 2025
MIN @ CLE
107 - 128
Jan 18, 2025
CLE @ MIN
124 - 117
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+42.2% more
Cleveland: 6.3
vs
Minnesota: 4.4
Turnovers (L5)
+28.4% more
Cleveland: 15.7
vs
Minnesota: 12.2
Turnovers (L5)
+21.5% more
Cleveland: 20.2
vs
Minnesota: 16.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.7%
Cleveland: 74.4%
vs
Minnesota: 66.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
111.8
125
CLE Score
114.8
127
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.4 / 40.5
40.0 / 32.0
Assists
23.7 / 25.4
30.0 / 25.0
Blocks
6.3 / 4.4
9.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
46.6 / 47.2
45.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
74.4 / 66.8
74.0 / 61.0
Rebounding
41.7 / 49.6
50.0 / 54.0
Steals
8.7 / 8.8
10.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
20.2 / 16.6
12.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +142 / -170
→
+135 / -147
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: +4.5 / -4.5
→
+3.5 / -3.5
↓
Total (O/U)
Open: 232.5
→
234
↑
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
Advantage
9-3-0
(75.0%)
Margin: 13.4
ATS +/-: +11.8
CLE
6-7-0
(46.2%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
Advantage
11-1-0
(91.7%)
Margin: 13.4
ATS +/-: +11.8
CLE
4-9-0
(30.8%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
6-6-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -3.9
CLE
7-6-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2%
Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
MIN
CLE
MIN
ML
54%
7-6
58%
7-5
54%
7-6
75%
9-3
ATS
62%
8-5
67%
8-4
38%
5-8
42%
5-7
TTL
62%
8-5
42%
5-7
54%
7-6
33%
4-8
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