Home / NBA Projections NBA / Magic @ Knicks ORL @ NY

ORLANDO

MAGICORL

1-2  |  Road

111
FINAL
Sun, Oct 25 • 7:00 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

0-3  |  Home

102
Key Game
Anthony Black
KEY GAME

Anthony Black

#0 | Guard
@
Tyler Kolek
KEY GAME

Tyler Kolek

#13 | Guard
Player
Anthony Black None-None
Tyler Kolek None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
21%
📊
KNICKS
79%
▲ Edge: +11.60% (NY)
MAGIC 34% Book Odds: +195
KNICKS 68% Book Odds: -210
Book Implied: 33.90% / 67.70%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
213.0
Projected
Book Total
224.5
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +11.5 (Under)
Over 224.5 26%
Under 224.5 74%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
-6.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.5 points (New York)
MagicORL (+6.5) 0 KnicksNY (-6.5)
New York Knicks (-6.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Magic Cover

13.6%

Knicks Cover

86.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NY -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)

ORL By 1-7 points

9.3%

ORL By 8-14 points

2.7%

NY By 1-7 points

21.6%

NY By 8-14 points

27.4%

AI Model Projected Score
101
ORLANDO
Book Implied: 109
112
NEW YORK
Book Implied: 115.50
Simulated Score
102
ORLANDO
Book Implied: 109
107
NEW YORK
Book Implied: 115.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Knicks Loss
79% Win Prob
A
Sim Knicks Loss
64% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Knicks (-6.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
B
Sim Magic (+6.5) Win
Proj Spread: +5.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI u224.5 Win
Proj Total: 213.0
A
Sim u224.5 Win
Proj Total: 209.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 25, 2026 ORL @ NY 111 - 102
Dec 13, 2025 NY @ ORL 132 - 120
Dec 7, 2025 ORL @ NY 100 - 106
Nov 22, 2025 NY @ ORL 121 - 133
Nov 12, 2025 ORL @ NY 124 - 107
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +16.2% more
New York: 46.6 vs Orlando: 40.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +8.8%
New York: 37.3% vs Orlando: 28.6%
Free Throw % (L5) +4.3%
New York: 72.5% vs Orlando: 68.2%
Turnovers (L5) +35.8% more
Orlando: 16.5 vs New York: 10.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ORL Score 101.0 111
NY Score 112.0 102
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.3 / 28.6 24.0 / 43.0
Assists 22.8 / 23.0 26.0 / 29.0
Blocks 4.4 / 4.6 4.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 42.1 / 43.1 41.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 72.5 / 68.2 71.0 / 81.0
Rebounding 46.6 / 40.1 45.0 / 49.0
Steals 6.7 / 8.8 8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 15.5 / 16.2 16.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +285 / -347 → +195 / -210 ↓
6%TICKETS94%
5%MONEY95%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +8.5 / -8.5 → +6.5 / -6.5 ↓
46%TICKETS54%
46%MONEY54%
Total (O/U)
Open: 225 → 224.5 ↓
80%TICKETS20%
81%MONEY19%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL
4-7-0 (36.4%)
Margin: -5.5 ATS +/-: -3.9
NY Advantage
6-5-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: 0.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL Advantage
5-6-0 (45.5%)
Margin: -5.5 ATS +/-: -3.9
NY
4-7-0 (36.4%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: 0.0
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
5-6-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: -2.1
NY
3-8-0
O: 27.3% / U: 72.7% Total +/-: -11.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
ORL
NY
ORL
ML
55% 6-5
55% 6-5
64% 7-4
64% 7-4
ATS
27% 3-8
45% 5-6
64% 7-4
64% 7-4
TTL
55% 6-5
45% 5-6
64% 7-4
64% 7-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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