Home / NBA Projections NBA / Pacers @ Nets IND @ BKN

INDIANA

PACERSIND

2-1  |  Road

136
FINAL
Sun, Oct 25 • 6:00 PM ET
Barclays Center
View Odds Details →

BROOKLYN

NETSBKN

0-3  |  Home

109
Key Game
Quenton Jackson
KEY GAME

Quenton Jackson

#29 | Guard
@
Nolan Traore
KEY GAME

Nolan Traore

#10 | Guard
Player
Quenton Jackson None-None
Nolan Traore None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
PACERS
57%
📊
NETS
43%
▲ Edge: +5.80% (BKN)
PACERS 65% Book Odds: -185
NETS 37% Book Odds: +170
Book Implied: 64.90% / 37%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
230.5
Projected
Book Total
231.5
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +1.0 (Under)
Over 231.5 47%
Under 231.5 53%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+0.5
BROOKLYN
Book Spread
+5.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Brooklyn)
PacersIND (-5.5) 0 NetsBKN (+5.5)
Brooklyn Nets (+5.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pacers Cover

48.0%

Nets Cover

52.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BKN +0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BKN)

IND By 1-7 points

25.8%

IND By 8-14 points

16.1%

BKN By 1-7 points

24.8%

BKN By 8-14 points

14.5%

AI Model Projected Score
115.5
INDIANA
Book Implied: 118.50
115
BROOKLYN
Book Implied: 113
Simulated Score
113
INDIANA
Book Implied: 118.50
104
BROOKLYN
Book Implied: 113
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Pacers Win
57% Win Prob
C
Sim Pacers Win
74% Win Prob
A
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Nets (+5.5) Loss
Proj Spread: +0.5
A
Sim Pacers (-5.5) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI u231.5 Loss
Proj Total: 230.5
D
Sim u231.5 Loss
Proj Total: 217.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 1, 2026 BKN @ IND 98 - 90
Oct 25, 2026 IND @ BKN 136 - 109
Apr 9, 2026 IND @ BKN 123 - 94
Feb 11, 2026 IND @ BKN 115 - 110
Nov 5, 2025 BKN @ IND 112 - 103
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +48.8% more
Indiana: 5.2 vs Brooklyn: 2.6
Turnovers (L5) +26.5% more
Indiana: 16.1 vs Brooklyn: 11.9
Assists (L5) +22.5% more
Indiana: 29.3 vs Brooklyn: 22.7
Field Goal % (L5) +4.0%
Indiana: 46.5% vs Brooklyn: 42.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
IND Score 115.5 136
BKN Score 115.0 109
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.2 / 30.0 33.0 / 49.0
Assists 22.7 / 29.3 25.0 / 34.0
Blocks 2.6 / 5.2 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 42.4 / 46.5 41.0 / 58.0
Free Throw % 80.6 / 75.0 70.0 / 77.0
Rebounding 41.0 / 42.8 40.0 / 40.0
Steals 8.8 / 8.2 13.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 17.6 / 16.9 15.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -230 / +190 → -185 / +170 ↑
89%TICKETS11%
81%MONEY19%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -6.5 / +6.5 → -5.5 / +5.5 ↑
48%TICKETS52%
55%MONEY45%
Total (O/U)
Open: 232.5 → 231.5 ↓
79%TICKETS21%
79%MONEY21%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IND Advantage
4-8-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -2.4 ATS +/-: -0.8
BKN
3-8-0 (27.3%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: +1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IND
7-5-0 (58.3%)
Margin: -2.4 ATS +/-: -0.8
BKN Advantage
7-4-0 (63.6%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: +1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
IND
4-8-0
O: 33.3% / U: 66.7% Total +/-: -7.1
BKN
6-5-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5% Total +/-: +1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
IND
BKN
IND
ML
73% 8-3
75% 9-3
73% 8-3
58% 7-5
ATS
64% 7-4
50% 6-6
73% 8-3
58% 7-5
TTL
27% 3-8
42% 5-7
45% 5-6
67% 8-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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