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OSASUNAOSASUNA

2-2-4  |  Home

2
FINAL
Sun, Oct 18 • 8:00 AM ET
El Sadar

RACINGRACING

2-2-4  |  Away

0
AI Model Win Probability
OSASUNA
35%
DRAW
31%
RACING
35%
▲ Edge: +22.20% (Racing Santander)
50% Book Odds: +100
DRAW --
28% Book Odds: +260
Book Implied: 50% / % / 27.80%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
2.0
Projected
Book Total
2.5
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 2.5 45%
Under 2.5 55%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
0.0
RACING
Book Goal Line
+0.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 goals (Racing)
OsasunaOsasuna (-0.5) 0 RacingRacing (+0.5)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

43.6% / 56.4%

Shots (On Goal)

20(7) / 9(1)

Corners

7 / 4

Cards (Y/R)

2/0 - 3/0

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

50.0%

Cover

50.0%

+4.5+3+1.50-1.5-3-4.5
Distribution centered around Racing Santander 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Racing Santander)

Osasuna By 1 goal

21.1%

Osasuna By 2+ goals

15.9%

Racing Santander By 1 goal

21.1%

Racing Santander By 2+ goals

15.9%

AI Model Projected Score
1
OSASUNA
Book Implied: 1.50
1
RACING
Book Implied: 1
Simulated Score
2
OSASUNA
Book Implied: 1.50
1
RACING
Book Implied: 1
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Draw Loss
38% Win Prob
A
Sim Osasuna Win
61% Win Prob
C
Goal Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Racing Santander (+0.5) Loss
Proj Goals: 0.0
C
Sim Osasuna (-0.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI u2.75 Win
Proj Total: 2.0
D
Sim o2.5 Loss
Proj Total: 3.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 18, 2026 Osasuna vs Racing 2 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Wins (L5) +100.0% more
Racing: 1.0 vs Osasuna: 0.0
Goals Scored (L5) +60.0% more
Racing: 8.0 vs Osasuna: 5.0
Losses (L5) +33.3% more
Racing: 3.0 vs Osasuna: 4.0
Goals Conceded (L5) +5.9% more
Osasuna: 17.0 vs Racing: 18.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Racing Santander Score 1.0 0
Osasuna Score 1.0 2
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 34.6% Draw: 30.9% Away Win: 34.6%
Osasuna (Home) vs Racing Santander (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 32.3% Under 2.5: 67.7%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 2.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Osasuna Share: 50.0% Racing Santander Share: 50.0%
AI Projected Score 1.0 - 1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Osasuna
Racing Santander
Osasuna
Racing Santander
ML
44% 4-5
33% 3-6
56% 5-4
67% 6-3
ATS
33% 3-6
33% 3-6
67% 6-3
78% 7-2
TTL
67% 6-3
44% 4-5
53% 4-4
41% 3-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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