DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
4-4-3 | Road
1
CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
4-6-0 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
John Gibson
#36 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Devin Cooley
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Gibson | None-None | 4.00 | 0.840 | -- |
| Devin Cooley | None-None | 1.00 | 0.966 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.00
GAA
Ldr 1.00
0.840
Save %
Ldr 0.966
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RED WINGS
55%
FLAMES
45%
RED WINGS
56%
Book Odds: -128
FLAMES
46%
Book Odds: +116
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
6.0
Over / Under Line
Over 6.0
41%
Under 6.0
59%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
DETROIT
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around DET -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
DET By 1 goal
18.9%
DET By 2-3 goals
34.9%
CGY By 1 goal
8.6%
CGY By 2-3 goals
5.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
3.8
DETROIT
Book Implied: 3.80
Calgary
2.2
CALGARY
Book Implied: 2.20
Simulated Score
Detroit
4
DETROIT
Book Implied: 3.80
Calgary
5
CALGARY
Book Implied: 2.20
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Red Wings
Loss
55% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flames
Win
69% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Red Wings (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.6
D
Sim
Flames (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Sim
o6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 24, 2026
DET @ CGY
1 - 4
Mar 16, 2026
CGY @ DET
2 - 5
Dec 10, 2025
DET @ CGY
4 - 3
Feb 1, 2025
DET @ CGY
3 - 1
Nov 27, 2024
CGY @ DET
1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+32.9% more
Detroit: 5.0
vs
Calgary: 3.4
Blocked Shots (L5)
+12.6% more
Detroit: 16.1
vs
Calgary: 14.0
Power Play % (L5)
+6.9%
Calgary: 32.1%
vs
Detroit: 25.2%
Faceoff % (L5)
+1.9%
Calgary: 49.7%
vs
Detroit: 47.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
3.8
1
CGY Score
2.2
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.0 / 16.1
15.0 / 6.0
Faceoff %
49.7 / 47.8
44.9 / 55.1
Hits
21.6 / 23.1
20.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
32.1 / 25.2
100.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
28.5 / 28.5
25.0 / 29.0
Takeaways
3.4 / 5.0
6.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -135 / +114
→
-128 / +116
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5
→
-1.5 / +1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5
→
6
↑
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CGY
DET
CGY
DET
ML
47%
9-10
68%
13-6
53%
10-9
53%
10-9
ATS
32%
6-13
37%
7-12
58%
11-8
63%
12-7
TTL
50%
9-9-1
28%
5-13-1
39%
7-11-1
50%
9-9-1
Contextual Game News
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