Home / NHL Projections NHL / Sharks @ Bruins SJ @ BOS

SAN JOSE

SHARKSSJ

6-5-1  |  Road

4
FINAL
Sat, Oct 24 • 7:00 PM ET
TD Garden
View Odds Details →

BOSTON

BRUINSBOS

9-2-1  |  Home

6
Goaltending
Alex Nedeljkovic
GOALTENDER

Alex Nedeljkovic

#33 | Goaltender
@
Jeremy Swayman
GOALTENDER

Jeremy Swayman

#1 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Alex Nedeljkovic None-None 5.12 0.853 --
Jeremy Swayman None-None 4.00 0.852 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
5.12 GAA Ldr 4.00
0.853 Ldr Save % 0.852
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
SHARKS
27%
📊
BRUINS
73%
▲ Edge: +8.60% (BOS)
SHARKS 38% Book Odds: +166
BRUINS 65% Book Odds: -185
Book Implied: 37.60% / 64.90%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 6.5 42%
Under 6.5 58%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
BOSTON
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Boston)
SharksSJ (+1.5) 0 BruinsBOS (-1.5)
Boston Bruins (-1.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Sharks Cover

21.2%

Bruins Cover

78.8%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BOS -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)

SJ By 1 goal

8.6%

SJ By 2-3 goals

5.5%

BOS By 1 goal

18.9%

BOS By 2-3 goals

34.9%

AI Model Projected Score
2.2
SAN JOSE
Book Implied: 2.50
3.8
BOSTON
Book Implied: 4
Simulated Score
2
SAN JOSE
Book Implied: 2.50
3
BOSTON
Book Implied: 4
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Bruins Win
73% Win Prob
A
Sim Bruins Win
69% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bruins (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.6
D
Sim Sharks (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: +1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Sim u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 24, 2026 SJ @ BOS 4 - 6
Oct 13, 2026 BOS @ SJ 6 - 3
Mar 12, 2026 SJ @ BOS 4 - 2
Nov 23, 2025 BOS @ SJ 1 - 3
Mar 22, 2025 BOS @ SJ 1 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Faceoff % (L5) +6.0%
Boston: 53.9% vs San Jose: 47.9%
Hits (L5) +22.4% more
San Jose: 23.3 vs Boston: 18.1
Takeaways (L5) +21.1% more
San Jose: 4.4 vs Boston: 3.5
Power Play % (L5) +17.1%
San Jose: 37.8% vs Boston: 20.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SJ Score 2.2 4
BOS Score 3.8 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 16.6 / 15.9 10.0 / 9.0
Faceoff % 53.9 / 47.9 60.6 / 39.4
Hits 18.1 / 23.3 14.0 / 21.0
Power Play % 20.7 / 37.8 20.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal 26.2 / 29.8 35.0 / 27.0
Takeaways 3.5 / 4.4 5.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +154 / -185 → +166 / -185
8%TICKETS92%
13%MONEY87%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5 → +1.5 / -1.5
34%TICKETS66%
30%MONEY70%
Total (O/U)
Open: 6.5 → 6.5
88%TICKETS12%
87%MONEY13%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
SJ
BOS
SJ
ML
78% 14-4
60% 12-8
44% 8-10
45% 9-11
ATS
61% 11-7
45% 9-11
56% 10-8
45% 9-11
TTL
50% 9-9
45% 9-11
50% 9-9
55% 11-9
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Greg Brown's Job Security Under Fire as Boston College Hockey St…
si 2 days, 9 hours ago
Kaprizov's Four-Point Night Powers Wild Past Sharks; Ducks, Sabr…
sanjosesun 4 days, 21 hours ago
Kaprizov's Four-Point Night Powers Wild Past Sharks, 4-1
abcnews 4 days, 21 hours ago
Penguins Look to Snap Skid Against Red-Hot Bruins
yahoo 6 days, 3 hours ago
Randy Hahn: The Voice That Defines the San Jose Sharks for 35 Ye…
kqed_org 6 days, 15 hours ago