Home / NBA Projections NBA / Wizards @ Bulls WSH @ CHI

WASHINGTON

WIZARDSWSH

2-1  |  Road

124
FINAL
Sat, Oct 24 • 8:00 PM ET
United Center
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

BULLSCHI

1-2  |  Home

120
Key Game
Tre Johnson
KEY GAME

Tre Johnson

#12 | Guard
@
Tre Jones
KEY GAME

Tre Jones

#30 | Guard
Player
Tre Johnson None-None
Tre Jones None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
WIZARDS
36%
📊
BULLS
64%
▲ Edge: +9.50% (CHI)
WIZARDS 48% Book Odds: +110
BULLS 55% Book Odds: -120
Book Implied: 47.60% / 54.50%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
243.0
Projected
Book Total
244.5
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +1.5 (Under)
Over 244.5 47%
Under 244.5 53%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.5 points (Chicago)
WizardsWSH (+1.5) 0 BullsCHI (-1.5)
Chicago Bulls (-1.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wizards Cover

24.2%

Bulls Cover

75.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHI -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)

WSH By 1-7 points

15.3%

WSH By 8-14 points

5.8%

CHI By 1-7 points

26.2%

CHI By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
118
WASHINGTON
Book Implied: 121.50
125
CHICAGO
Book Implied: 123
Simulated Score
108
WASHINGTON
Book Implied: 121.50
109
CHICAGO
Book Implied: 123
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bulls Loss
64% Win Prob
B
Sim Bulls Loss
53% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bulls (-1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
B
Sim Wizards (+1.5) Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI u244.5 Win
Proj Total: 243.0
D
Sim u244.5 Win
Proj Total: 217.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 24, 2026 WSH @ CHI 124 - 120
Apr 9, 2026 CHI @ WSH 119 - 108
Apr 7, 2026 CHI @ WSH 129 - 98
Nov 22, 2025 WSH @ CHI 120 - 121
Apr 11, 2025 WSH @ CHI 89 - 119
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +20.5% more
Chicago: 47.1 vs Washington: 39.1
Turnovers (L5) +9.4% more
Chicago: 15.6 vs Washington: 14.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +8.5%
Washington: 32.5% vs Chicago: 23.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WSH Score 118.0 124
CHI Score 125.0 120
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 23.9 / 32.5 28.0 / 30.0
Assists 25.6 / 24.8 25.0 / 28.0
Blocks 5.0 / 4.9 1.0 / 7.0
Field Goal % 43.6 / 45.1 43.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 80.6 / 80.1 93.0 / 86.0
Rebounding 47.1 / 39.1 44.0 / 48.0
Steals 9.5 / 10.3 10.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 17.7 / 17.4 12.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -115 / +102 → +110 / -120 ↑
39%TICKETS61%
72%MONEY28%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5 → +1.5 / -1.5 ↑
59%TICKETS41%
54%MONEY46%
Total (O/U)
Open: 242.5 → 244.5 ↑
51%TICKETS49%
45%MONEY55%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH Advantage
4-8-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -5.9 ATS +/-: -1.1
CHI
1-9-0 (10.0%)
Margin: -15.5 ATS +/-: -6.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
5-7-0 (41.7%)
Margin: -5.9 ATS +/-: -1.1
CHI Advantage
5-5-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -15.5 ATS +/-: -6.1
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
3-9-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -8.8
CHI
5-5-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +4.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
WSH
CHI
WSH
ML
80% 8-2
67% 8-4
80% 8-2
83% 10-2
ATS
33% 3-6-1
42% 5-7
22% 2-7-1
75% 9-3
TTL
40% 4-6
67% 8-4
50% 5-5
92% 11-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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