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PORTLAND

TRAIL BLAZERSPOR

2-0  |  Road

128
FINAL
Fri, Oct 23 • 10:00 PM ET
Golden 1 Center
View Odds Details →

SACRAMENTO

KINGSSAC

0-2  |  Home

120
Key Game
Sidy Cissoko
KEY GAME

Sidy Cissoko

#91 | Guard
@
Emanuel Sharp
KEY GAME

Emanuel Sharp

#34 | Guard
Player
Sidy Cissoko None-None
Emanuel Sharp None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
TRAIL BLAZERS
70%
📊
KINGS
30%
▲ Edge: +4.20% (SAC)
TRAIL BLAZERS 75% Book Odds: -300
KINGS 26% Book Odds: +280
Book Implied: 75% / 26.30%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
230.0
Projected
Book Total
231.5
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +1.5 (Under)
Over 231.5 46%
Under 231.5 54%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+6.0
SACRAMENTO
Book Spread
+9.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.5 points (Sacramento)
Trail BlazersPOR (-9.5) 0 KingsSAC (+9.5)
Sacramento Kings (+9.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Trail Blazers Cover

27.4%

Kings Cover

72.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SAC +6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SAC)

POR By 1-7 points

26.8%

POR By 8-14 points

24.3%

SAC By 1-7 points

16.9%

SAC By 8-14 points

6.8%

AI Model Projected Score
118
PORTLAND
Book Implied: 120.50
112
SACRAMENTO
Book Implied: 111
Simulated Score
105
PORTLAND
Book Implied: 120.50
106
SACRAMENTO
Book Implied: 111
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Trail Blazers Win
70% Win Prob
A
Sim Kings Loss
53% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Kings (+9.5) Win
Proj Spread: +6.0
B
Sim Kings (+9.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI u231.5 Loss
Proj Total: 230.0
C
Sim u231.5 Loss
Proj Total: 211.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 23, 2026 POR @ SAC 128 - 120
Apr 12, 2026 SAC @ POR 110 - 122
Jan 18, 2026 POR @ SAC 117 - 110
Dec 20, 2025 POR @ SAC 98 - 93
Dec 18, 2025 SAC @ POR 133 - 134
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +12.2%
Portland: 79.3% vs Sacramento: 67.1%
Blocks (L5) +29.8% more
Sacramento: 4.3 vs Portland: 3.3
Turnovers (L5) +16.2% more
Sacramento: 16.5 vs Portland: 14.2
Turnovers (L5) +13.3% more
Sacramento: 15.6 vs Portland: 13.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
POR Score 118.0 128
SAC Score 112.0 120
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.6 / 33.3 26.0 / 29.0
Assists 23.7 / 25.0 21.0 / 30.0
Blocks 4.3 / 3.3 2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 45.9 / 42.5 46.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 67.1 / 79.3 93.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 44.4 / 45.7 42.0 / 45.0
Steals 8.7 / 9.1 5.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 16.5 / 14.2 14.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -258 / +210 → -300 / +280 ↓
97%TICKETS3%
92%MONEY8%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -6.5 / +6.5 → -9.5 / +9.5 ↓
88%TICKETS12%
91%MONEY9%
Total (O/U)
Open: 232.5 → 231.5 ↓
67%TICKETS33%
66%MONEY34%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
POR Advantage
7-3-0 (70.0%)
Margin: 7.0 ATS +/-: +5.6
SAC
1-10-0 (9.1%)
Margin: -12.7 ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
POR Advantage
6-4-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 7.0 ATS +/-: +5.6
SAC
4-7-0 (36.4%)
Margin: -12.7 ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
POR
4-6-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: +1.3
SAC
6-5-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5% Total +/-: -2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SAC
POR
SAC
POR
ML
91% 10-1
60% 6-4
73% 8-3
50% 5-5
ATS
45% 5-6
60% 6-4
36% 4-7
60% 6-4
TTL
18% 2-9
80% 8-2
27% 3-8
60% 6-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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