MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
2-0 | Road
115
ORLANDO
MAGICORL
0-2 | Home
93
Key Game
KEY GAME
Bones Hyland
#8 | Guard@
KEY GAME
Jase Richardson
#11 | Guard| Player | |
|---|---|
| Bones Hyland | None-None |
| Jase Richardson | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
TIMBERWOLVES
50%
MAGIC
50%
▲ Edge: +1.80% (MIN)
TIMBERWOLVES
48%
Book Odds: +109
MAGIC
54%
Book Odds: -118
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
219.5
Projected
Book Total
234.0
Over / Under Line
▼
Edge: +14.5 (Under)
Over 234.0
20%
Under 234.0
80%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+0.5
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
+1
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIN +0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
MIN By 1-7 points
24.8%
MIN By 8-14 points
14.5%
ORL By 1-7 points
25.8%
ORL By 8-14 points
16.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
109.5
MINNESOTA
Book Implied: 116.50
Orlando
110
ORLANDO
Book Implied: 117.50
Simulated Score
Minnesota
101
MINNESOTA
Book Implied: 116.50
Orlando
104
ORLANDO
Book Implied: 117.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Magic
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
Magic
Loss
58% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Timberwolves (+1)
Win
Proj Spread: +0.5
D
Sim
Magic (-1)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
u234.0
Win
Proj Total: 219.5
A
Sim
u234.0
Win
Proj Total: 205.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 23, 2026
MIN @ ORL
115 - 93
Apr 8, 2026
MIN @ ORL
120 - 132
Mar 7, 2026
ORL @ MIN
119 - 92
Mar 14, 2025
ORL @ MIN
111 - 118
Jan 9, 2025
MIN @ ORL
104 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+81.2% more
Orlando: 4.9
vs
Minnesota: 2.7
Turnovers (L5)
+34.9% more
Orlando: 16.5
vs
Minnesota: 12.2
Turnovers (L5)
+20.9% more
Orlando: 16.2
vs
Minnesota: 13.4
Steals (L5)
+16.5% more
Orlando: 9.7
vs
Minnesota: 8.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
109.5
115
ORL Score
110.0
93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.3 / 36.1
21.0 / 38.0
Assists
23.0 / 21.1
23.0 / 33.0
Blocks
4.9 / 2.7
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
42.7 / 42.7
44.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
73.3 / 73.7
58.0 / 57.0
Rebounding
38.7 / 44.3
43.0 / 61.0
Steals
9.7 / 8.3
7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
16.2 / 13.4
16.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -125 / +105
→
+109 / -118
↑
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5
→
+1 / -1
↑
Total (O/U)
Open: 237.5
→
234
↓
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
Advantage
8-3-0
(72.7%)
Margin: 11.1
ATS +/-: +9.8
ORL
3-7-0
(30.0%)
Margin: -7.6
ATS +/-: -5.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
Advantage
10-1-0
(90.9%)
Margin: 11.1
ATS +/-: +9.8
ORL
4-6-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -7.6
ATS +/-: -5.4
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
5-6-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -4.3
ORL
4-6-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0%
Total +/-: -3.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORL
MIN
ORL
MIN
ML
50%
5-5
55%
6-5
60%
6-4
73%
8-3
ATS
50%
5-5
73%
8-3
60%
6-4
45%
5-6
TTL
40%
4-6
45%
5-6
60%
6-4
36%
4-7
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