Home / NBA Projections NBA / Cavaliers @ 76ers CLE @ PHI

CLEVELAND

CAVALIERSCLE

0-1  |  Road

106
FINAL
Thu, Oct 22 • 7:00 PM ET
Xfinity Mobile Arena
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

76ERSPHI

2-0  |  Home

114
Key Game
Tyrese Proctor
KEY GAME

Tyrese Proctor

#24 | Guard
@
Anfernee Simons
KEY GAME

Anfernee Simons

#5 | Guard
Player
Tyrese Proctor None-None
Anfernee Simons None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
51%
📊
76ERS
49%
▲ Edge: +5.90% (CLE)
CAVALIERS 46% Book Odds: +120
76ERS 59% Book Odds: -142
Book Implied: 45.50% / 58.70%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
220.4
Projected
Book Total
236.5
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +16.1 (Under)
Over 236.5 19%
Under 236.5 81%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
+2.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.5 points (Cleveland)
CavaliersCLE (+2.5) 0 76ersPHI (-2.5)
Cleveland Cavaliers (+2.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cavaliers Cover

57.9%

76ers Cover

42.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CLE -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)

CLE By 1-7 points

26.8%

CLE By 8-14 points

18.6%

PHI By 1-7 points

23.0%

PHI By 8-14 points

12.2%

AI Model Projected Score
111.2
CLEVELAND
Book Implied: 117
109.2
PHILADELPHIA
Book Implied: 119.50
Simulated Score
114
CLEVELAND
Book Implied: 117
119
PHILADELPHIA
Book Implied: 119.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Cavaliers Loss
51% Win Prob
D
Sim 76ers Win
64% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Cavaliers (+2.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -2.0
B
Sim 76ers (-2.5) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI u236.5 Win
Proj Total: 220.4
A
Sim u236.5 Win
Proj Total: 233.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 22, 2026 CLE @ PHI 106 - 114
Mar 9, 2026 PHI @ CLE 101 - 115
Jan 16, 2026 CLE @ PHI 117 - 115
Jan 14, 2026 CLE @ PHI 133 - 107
Nov 5, 2025 PHI @ CLE 121 - 132
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +30.9% more
Cleveland: 17.7 vs Philadelphia: 12.2
Turnovers (L5) +24.8% more
Cleveland: 15.7 vs Philadelphia: 11.8
Steals (L5) +17.1% more
Cleveland: 7.9 vs Philadelphia: 6.6
Blocks (L5) +42.7% more
Philadelphia: 5.6 vs Cleveland: 3.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLE Score 111.2 106
PHI Score 109.2 114
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.5 / 29.5 25.0 / 24.0
Assists 24.1 / 21.1 24.0 / 18.0
Blocks 5.6 / 3.9 2.0 / 7.0
Field Goal % 44.7 / 44.0 46.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 77.5 / 72.9 77.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 38.0 / 37.1 44.0 / 46.0
Steals 6.6 / 7.9 10.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 12.2 / 17.7 17.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +130 / -155 → +120 / -142 ↓
18%TICKETS82%
27%MONEY73%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +4.5 / -4.5 → +2.5 / -2.5 ↓
52%TICKETS48%
58%MONEY42%
Total (O/U)
Open: 233.5 → 236.5 ↑
63%TICKETS37%
76%MONEY24%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
4-3-0 (57.1%)
Margin: 3.6 ATS +/-: -1.1
PHI Advantage
7-1-0 (87.5%)
Margin: 5.8 ATS +/-: +2.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
2-5-0 (28.6%)
Margin: 3.6 ATS +/-: -1.1
PHI Advantage
5-3-0 (62.5%)
Margin: 5.8 ATS +/-: +2.5
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
3-4-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1% Total +/-: +1.2
PHI
2-6-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -14.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
CLE
PHI
CLE
ML
62% 5-3
71% 5-2
50% 4-4
57% 4-3
ATS
25% 2-6
71% 5-2
50% 4-4
43% 3-4
TTL
88% 7-1
57% 4-3
75% 6-2
57% 4-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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