Home / NFL Projections NFL / Chargers @ Rams LAC @ LAR

LOS ANGELES

CHARGERSLAC

0-7  |  Road

9
FINAL
Sun, Nov 1 • 4:05 PM ET
SoFi Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

RAMSLAR

4-4  |  Home

24
Key Game
JK Scott
KEY GAME

JK Scott

#16 | Punter
@
Ethan Evans
KEY GAME

Ethan Evans

#42 | Punter
Player
JK Scott None-None
Ethan Evans None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
CHARGERS
34%
📊
RAMS
66%
▲ Edge: +5.70% (LAC)
CHARGERS 28% Book Odds: +254
RAMS 75% Book Odds: -295
Book Implied: 28.20% / 74.70%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
44.5
Projected
Book Total
46.0
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +1.5 (Under)
Over 46.0 47%
Under 46.0 53%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.5
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
-6.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Los Angeles)
ChargersLAC (+6.5) 0 RamsLAR (-6.5)
Los Angeles Rams (-6.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Chargers Cover

27.2%

Rams Cover

72.8%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around LAR -8.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAR)

LAC By 1-6 points

11.8%

LAC By 7-13 points

8.4%

LAR By 1-6 points

15.9%

LAR By 7-13 points

19.6%

AI Model Projected Score
18
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 19.80
26.5
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 26.20
Simulated Score
22
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 19.80
26
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 26.20
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Rams Win
66% Win Prob
B
Sim Rams Win
65% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Rams (-6.5) Win
Proj Spread: -8.5
C
Sim Chargers (+6.5) Loss
Proj Spread: +4.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI u46.0 Win
Proj Total: 44.5
D
Sim o46.0 Loss
Proj Total: 48.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 1, 2026 LAC @ LAR 9 - 24
Aug 27, 2026 LAR @ LAC 20 - 18
Aug 16, 2025 LAC @ LAR 22 - 23
Jan 1, 2023 LAR @ LAC 10 - 31
Sep 23, 2018 LAC @ LAR 23 - 35
Key Model Drivers
Net Passing Yards (L5) +56.8% more
Los Angeles: 251.1 vs Los Angeles: 160.1
First Downs (L5) +55.7% more
Los Angeles: 25.6 vs Los Angeles: 16.5
Total Yards (L5) +38.7% more
Los Angeles: 386.8 vs Los Angeles: 278.9
Yards Per Play (L5) +27.5% more
Los Angeles: 5.7 vs Los Angeles: 4.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAC Score 18.0 9
LAR Score 26.5 24
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 25.6 / 16.5 16.0 / 14.0
Net Passing Yards 251.1 / 160.1 152.0 / 231.0
Rushing Yards 135.7 / 118.8 129.0 / 64.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.3 0.27 / 0.4
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.46 / 0.54
Total Yards 386.8 / 278.9 281.0 / 295.0
Turnovers 1.4 / 2.5 1.0 / 2.0
Yards Per Play 5.7 / 4.4 5.3 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +170 / -205 → +254 / -295 ↑
5%TICKETS95%
2%MONEY98%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +3.5 / -3.5 → +6.5 / -6.5 ↑
30%TICKETS70%
36%MONEY64%
Total (O/U)
Open: 48.5 → 46 ↓
57%TICKETS43%
60%MONEY40%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
0-7-0 (0.0%)
Margin: -10.9 ATS +/-: -8.6
LAR Advantage
4-4-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
0-6-1 (0.0%)
Margin: -10.9 ATS +/-: -8.6
LAR Advantage
4-4-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
1-6-0
O: 14.3% / U: 85.7% Total +/-: -5.8
LAR
4-4-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -2.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAR
LAC
LAR
LAC
ML
50% 4-4
57% 4-3
38% 3-5
57% 4-3
ATS
62% 5-3
33% 2-4-1
25% 2-6
0% 0-6-1
TTL
50% 4-4
71% 5-2
38% 3-5
43% 3-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Broncos Rip Up and Replace Mile High Stadium Surface for Fifth C…
nbcsports 49 minutes ago
NFL Sunday Ticket Antitrust Case Could Now Target YouTube TV Aft…
awfulannouncing 12 hours, 36 minutes ago
Skip Bayless Declares Chicago Bears Super Bowl Contenders After …
yahoo 12 hours, 47 minutes ago
Jets' Garrett Wilson Enters Concussion Protocol Ahead of Chiefs …
nbcsports 18 hours, 43 minutes ago
Jets' Garrett Wilson Enters Concussion Protocol, Sunday Status v…
bleacherreport 18 hours, 49 minutes ago