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CAROLINA

PANTHERSCAR

3-4  |  Road

19
FINAL
Thu, Oct 29 • 8:15 PM ET
Lambeau Field
View Odds Details →

GREEN BAY

PACKERSGB

5-3  |  Home

27
Key Game
Sam Martin
KEY GAME

Sam Martin

#6 | Punter
@
Daniel Whelan
KEY GAME

Daniel Whelan

#19 | Punter
Player
Sam Martin None-None
Daniel Whelan None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
28%
📊
PACKERS
72%
▲ Edge: +6.10% (GB)
PANTHERS 37% Book Odds: +168
PACKERS 65% Book Odds: -189
Book Implied: 37.30% / 65.40%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
49.4
Projected
Book Total
47.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +1.9 (Over)
Over 47.5 56%
Under 47.5 44%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
CAROLINA
Book Spread
+3.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Carolina)
PanthersCAR (+3.5) 0 PackersGB (-3.5)
Carolina Panthers (+3.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

58.5%

Packers Cover

41.5%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around CAR +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)

CAR By 1-6 points

15.3%

CAR By 7-13 points

12.9%

GB By 1-6 points

17.0%

GB By 7-13 points

17.5%

AI Model Projected Score
23.2
CAROLINA
Book Implied: 22
26.2
GREEN BAY
Book Implied: 25.50
Simulated Score
26
CAROLINA
Book Implied: 22
19
GREEN BAY
Book Implied: 25.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Packers Win
72% Win Prob
A
Sim Panthers Loss
75% Win Prob
A
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (+3.5) Loss
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim Panthers (+3.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI o47.5 Loss
Proj Total: 49.4
C
Sim u47.5 Win
Proj Total: 45.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 29, 2026 CAR @ GB 19 - 27
Nov 2, 2025 CAR @ GB 16 - 13
Dec 24, 2023 GB @ CAR 33 - 30
Dec 19, 2020 CAR @ GB 16 - 24
Nov 10, 2019 CAR @ GB 16 - 24
Key Model Drivers
Net Passing Yards (L5) +10.1% more
Green Bay: 267.4 vs Carolina: 242.8
Turnovers (L5) +40.6% more
Carolina: 1.7 vs Green Bay: 1.0
Rushing Yards (L5) +38.9% more
Carolina: 105.7 vs Green Bay: 64.6
First Downs (L5) +13.8% more
Carolina: 20.8 vs Green Bay: 17.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAR Score 23.2 19
GB Score 26.2 27
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 17.9 / 20.8 21.0 / 14.0
Net Passing Yards 267.4 / 242.8 288.0 / 176.0
Rushing Yards 64.6 / 105.7 66.0 / 82.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.56 / 0.28
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.52 / 0.48
Total Yards 332.0 / 348.5 354.0 / 258.0
Turnovers 1.0 / 1.7 3.0 / 2.0
Yards Per Play 5.3 / 5.4 5.3 / 3.7
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +280 / -355 → +168 / -189 ↓
19%TICKETS81%
31%MONEY69%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +7 / -7 → +3.5 / -3.5 ↓
52%TICKETS48%
60%MONEY40%
Total (O/U)
Open: 45.5 → 47.5 ↑
67%TICKETS33%
74%MONEY26%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CAR
3-4-0 (42.9%)
Margin: -2.1 ATS +/-: -2.1
GB Advantage
5-3-0 (62.5%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CAR
3-4-0 (42.9%)
Margin: -2.1 ATS +/-: -2.1
GB Advantage
5-3-0 (62.5%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CAR
3-4-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1% Total +/-: +7.9
GB
2-6-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -5.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GB
CAR
GB
CAR
ML
75% 6-2
29% 2-5
62% 5-3
57% 4-3
ATS
43% 3-4-1
43% 3-4
43% 3-4-1
71% 5-2
TTL
38% 3-5
67% 4-2-1
62% 5-3
33% 2-4-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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