CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
1-0 | Road
110
BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
0-1 | Home
103
Key Game
KEY GAME
Liam McNeeley
#33 | Guard@
KEY GAME
Nolan Traore
#10 | Guard| Player | |
|---|---|
| Liam McNeeley | None-None |
| Nolan Traore | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
64%
NETS
36%
▲ Edge: +8.70% (CHA)
HORNETS
56%
Book Odds: -125
NETS
49%
Book Odds: +105
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
225.0
Projected
Book Total
219.5
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +5.5 (Over)
Over 219.5
60%
Under 219.5
40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
CHARLOTTE
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.5 points (Charlotte)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CHA -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHA)
CHA By 1-7 points
26.8%
CHA By 8-14 points
24.3%
BKN By 1-7 points
16.9%
BKN By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Charlotte
115.5
CHARLOTTE
Book Implied: 110.50
Brooklyn
109.5
BROOKLYN
Book Implied: 109
Simulated Score
Charlotte
110
CHARLOTTE
Book Implied: 110.50
Brooklyn
112
BROOKLYN
Book Implied: 109
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hornets
Win
64% Win Prob
B
Sim
Nets
Loss
55% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
Hornets (-1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
B
Sim
Nets (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI
o219.5
Loss
Proj Total: 225.0
B
Sim
o219.5
Loss
Proj Total: 222.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 21, 2026
CHA @ BKN
110 - 103
Mar 31, 2026
CHA @ BKN
117 - 86
Dec 1, 2025
CHA @ BKN
103 - 116
Oct 22, 2025
BKN @ CHA
117 - 136
Mar 8, 2025
BKN @ CHA
102 - 105
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+50.2% more
Charlotte: 5.4
vs
Brooklyn: 2.7
Turnovers (L5)
+17.3% more
Charlotte: 14.3
vs
Brooklyn: 11.9
Rebounding (L5)
+13.5% more
Charlotte: 43.0
vs
Brooklyn: 37.2
Turnovers (L5)
+10.7% more
Charlotte: 15.3
vs
Brooklyn: 13.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHA Score
115.5
110
BKN Score
109.5
103
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.1 / 31.8
39.0 / 31.0
Assists
22.9 / 22.4
22.0 / 26.0
Blocks
2.7 / 5.4
5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
42.9 / 41.0
45.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
79.5 / 87.4
76.0 / 87.0
Rebounding
37.2 / 43.0
38.0 / 44.0
Steals
8.0 / 6.5
7.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
13.6 / 15.3
22.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -130 / +110
→
-125 / +105
↑
Spread (ATS)
Open: -2.5 / +2.5
→
-1.5 / +1.5
↑
Total (O/U)
Open: 223.5
→
219.5
↓
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHA
Advantage
3-5-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -11.3
ATS +/-: -9.3
BKN
1-6-0
(14.3%)
Margin: -8.6
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHA
3-5-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -11.3
ATS +/-: -9.3
BKN
Advantage
4-3-0
(57.1%)
Margin: -8.6
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
CHA
2-6-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0%
Total +/-: -13.0
BKN
3-4-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1%
Total +/-: -5.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
CHA
BKN
CHA
ML
86%
6-1
75%
6-2
71%
5-2
50%
4-4
ATS
86%
6-1
50%
4-4
71%
5-2
50%
4-4
TTL
0%
0-7
38%
3-5
43%
3-4
62%
5-3
Contextual Game News
Draymond Green Ejected After Chaotic Scuffle with Suns' Maluach …
NBA Insider Kevin O'Connor Leaves Lakers Out of Top 8 Title Cont…
Nets Show Fight Early, Look to Build on First Win and Climb East
Anthony Edwards' Knee Injury Opens Door for Jonathan Kuminga to …
Spud Webb: The 5-7 Dunk Champion Who Shocked the NBA