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WINNIPEG

JETSWPG

4-3-2  |  Road

1
FINAL
Tue, Oct 20 • 8:00 PM ET
Enterprise Center
View Odds Details →

ST. LOUIS

BLUESSTL

4-4-1  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Stuart Skinner
GOALTENDER

Stuart Skinner

#74 | Goaltender
@
Joel Hofer
GOALTENDER

Joel Hofer

#30 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Stuart Skinner None-None 2.07 0.929 --
Joel Hofer None-None 1.01 0.970 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.07 GAA Ldr 1.01
0.929 Save % Ldr 0.970
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
JETS
35%
📊
BLUES
65%
▲ Edge: +8.90% (STL)
JETS 46% Book Odds: +118
BLUES 57% Book Odds: -130
Book Implied: 45.90% / 56.50%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
5.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 (Over)
Over 5.5 50%
Under 5.5 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (St. Louis)
JetsWPG (+1.5) 0 BluesSTL (-1.5)
St. Louis Blues (-1.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jets Cover

21.2%

Blues Cover

78.8%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around STL -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)

WPG By 1 goal

8.6%

WPG By 2-3 goals

5.5%

STL By 1 goal

18.9%

STL By 2-3 goals

34.9%

AI Model Projected Score
2.2
WINNIPEG
Book Implied: 2
3.8
ST. LOUIS
Book Implied: 3.50
Simulated Score
2
WINNIPEG
Book Implied: 2
3
ST. LOUIS
Book Implied: 3.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Blues Win
65% Win Prob
B
Sim Blues Win
69% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Blues (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.6
D
Sim Jets (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI o5.5 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 20, 2026 WPG @ STL 1 - 2
Apr 9, 2026 WPG @ STL 3 - 2
Mar 15, 2026 STL @ WPG 2 - 3
Jan 20, 2026 STL @ WPG 1 - 3
Dec 17, 2025 WPG @ STL 0 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +6.0%
St. Louis: 24.9% vs Winnipeg: 19.0%
Faceoff % (L5) +3.7%
St. Louis: 49.9% vs Winnipeg: 46.2%
Blocked Shots (L5) +32.2% more
Winnipeg: 15.2 vs St. Louis: 10.3
Hits (L5) +30.7% more
Winnipeg: 27.1 vs St. Louis: 18.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WPG Score 2.2 1
STL Score 3.8 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 10.3 / 15.2 12.0 / 9.0
Faceoff % 49.9 / 46.2 54.4 / 45.6
Hits 18.7 / 27.1 16.0 / 24.0
Power Play % 24.9 / 19.0 20.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 25.9 / 26.0 28.0 / 33.0
Takeaways 3.5 / 4.1 4.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +120 / -142 → +118 / -130 ↓
40%TICKETS60%
60%MONEY40%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5 → +1.5 / -1.5
88%TICKETS12%
86%MONEY14%
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5 → 5.5
86%TICKETS14%
91%MONEY9%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
WPG
STL
WPG
ML
53% 9-8
61% 11-7
65% 11-6
56% 10-8
ATS
41% 7-10
33% 6-12
47% 8-9
78% 14-4
TTL
31% 5-11-1
50% 9-9
62% 10-6-1
44% 8-10
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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