Home / NBA Projections NBA / 76ers @ Knicks PHI @ NY

PHILADELPHIA

76ERSPHI

1-0  |  Road

106
FINAL
Tue, Oct 20 • 7:00 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

0-1  |  Home

100
Key Game
Anfernee Simons
KEY GAME

Anfernee Simons

#5 | Guard
@
Miles McBride
KEY GAME

Miles McBride

#2 | Guard
Player
Anfernee Simons None-None
Miles McBride None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
24%
📊
KNICKS
76%
▲ Edge: +12.70% (NY)
76ERS 39% Book Odds: +155
KNICKS 63% Book Odds: -170
Book Implied: 39.20% / 63%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
216.0
Projected
Book Total
231.5
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +15.5 (Under)
Over 231.5 19%
Under 231.5 81%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.6
NEW YORK
Book Spread
-4.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.1 points (New York)
76ersPHI (+4.5) 0 KnicksNY (-4.5)
New York Knicks (-4.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

76ers Cover

12.3%

Knicks Cover

87.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NY -11.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)

PHI By 1-7 points

8.5%

PHI By 8-14 points

2.4%

NY By 1-7 points

20.7%

NY By 8-14 points

27.3%

AI Model Projected Score
102.2
PHILADELPHIA
Book Implied: 113.50
113.8
NEW YORK
Book Implied: 118
Simulated Score
112
PHILADELPHIA
Book Implied: 113.50
118
NEW YORK
Book Implied: 118
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Knicks Loss
76% Win Prob
A
Sim Knicks Loss
66% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Knicks (-4.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -11.6
A
Sim Knicks (-4.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI u231.5 Win
Proj Total: 216.0
A
Sim u231.5 Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 30, 2026 NY @ PHI 93 - 98
Oct 20, 2026 PHI @ NY 106 - 100
May 10, 2026 NY @ PHI 144 - 114
May 8, 2026 NY @ PHI 108 - 94
May 6, 2026 PHI @ NY 102 - 108
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +31.6% more
New York: 45.3 vs Philadelphia: 34.4
Steals (L5) +30.7% more
New York: 7.6 vs Philadelphia: 5.8
Blocks (L5) +29.0% more
New York: 4.4 vs Philadelphia: 3.4
Turnovers (L5) +11.9% more
New York: 13.8 vs Philadelphia: 12.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHI Score 102.2 106
NY Score 113.8 100
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.5 / 30.2 33.0 / 28.0
Assists 20.5 / 22.1 21.0 / 28.0
Blocks 4.4 / 3.4 8.0 / 10.0
Field Goal % 42.6 / 46.0 37.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 74.8 / 77.3 70.0 / 78.0
Rebounding 45.3 / 34.4 53.0 / 45.0
Steals 7.6 / 5.8 6.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 13.8 / 12.4 15.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +154 / -185 → +155 / -170 ↓
24%TICKETS76%
40%MONEY60%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +5.5 / -5.5 → +4.5 / -4.5 ↓
68%TICKETS32%
60%MONEY40%
Total (O/U)
Open: 231.5 → 231.5
66%TICKETS34%
70%MONEY30%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI Advantage
6-1-0 (85.7%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.6
NY
2-4-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: -4.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI Advantage
4-3-0 (57.1%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.6
NY
1-5-0 (16.7%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: -4.8
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
2-5-0
O: 28.6% / U: 71.4% Total +/-: -15.4
NY
1-5-0
O: 16.7% / U: 83.3% Total +/-: -11.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
PHI
NY
PHI
ML
33% 2-4
57% 4-3
50% 3-3
43% 3-4
ATS
17% 1-5
29% 2-5
67% 4-2
57% 4-3
TTL
83% 5-1
86% 6-1
67% 4-2
71% 5-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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