COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
5-3-1 | Road
2
PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
2-6-3 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Mackenzie Blackwood
#39 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Joseph Woll
#53 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Blackwood | None-None | 3.11 | 0.875 | -- |
| Joseph Woll | None-None | 2.00 | 0.923 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.11
GAA
Ldr 2.00
0.875
Save %
Ldr 0.923
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
73%
FLYERS
27%
▲ Edge: +2.50% (COL)
AVALANCHE
71%
Book Odds: -243
FLYERS
32%
Book Odds: +214
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.5
Projected
Book Total
6.0
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +0.5 (Over)
Over 6.0
59%
Under 6.0
41%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.5
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around PHI +1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
COL By 1 goal
19.1%
COL By 2-3 goals
34.1%
PHI By 1 goal
9.2%
PHI By 2-3 goals
6.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
4
COLORADO
Book Implied: 3.80
Philadelphia
2.5
PHILADELPHIA
Book Implied: 2.20
Simulated Score
Colorado
3
COLORADO
Book Implied: 3.80
Philadelphia
2
PHILADELPHIA
Book Implied: 2.20
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Avalanche
Loss
73% Win Prob
A
Sim
Avalanche
Loss
70% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Flyers (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: +1.5
D
Sim
Flyers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
o6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 6.5
B
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 19, 2026
COL @ PHI
2 - 3
Jan 23, 2026
PHI @ COL
7 - 3
Dec 7, 2025
COL @ PHI
3 - 2
Feb 2, 2025
PHI @ COL
0 - 2
Nov 18, 2024
COL @ PHI
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+23.3% more
Colorado: 29.9
vs
Philadelphia: 22.9
Power Play % (L5)
+3.6%
Colorado: 18.0%
vs
Philadelphia: 14.4%
Hits (L5)
+56.1% more
Philadelphia: 25.2
vs
Colorado: 16.1
Takeaways (L5)
+27.6% more
Philadelphia: 4.4
vs
Colorado: 3.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
4.0
2
PHI Score
2.5
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.3 / 14.7
24.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
49.2 / 50.4
56.9 / 43.1
Hits
25.2 / 16.1
26.0 / 16.0
Power Play %
14.4 / 18.0
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
22.9 / 29.9
24.0 / 26.0
Takeaways
4.4 / 3.5
7.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -205 / +170
→
-243 / +214
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5
→
-1.5 / +1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5
→
6
↑
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
COL
PHI
COL
ML
56%
10-8
53%
9-8
44%
8-10
47%
8-9
ATS
39%
7-11
53%
9-8
44%
8-10
47%
8-9
TTL
59%
10-7-1
29%
5-12
41%
7-10-1
76%
13-4
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