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ANAHEIM

DUCKSANA

4-4-0  |  Road

2
FINAL
Mon, Oct 19 • 7:00 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

RANGERSNYR

7-3-1  |  Home

5
Goaltending
Ville Husso
GOALTENDER

Ville Husso

#33 | Goaltender
@
Dylan Garand
GOALTENDER

Dylan Garand

#33 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Ville Husso None-None 5.00 0.833 --
Dylan Garand None-None 2.00 0.935 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
5.00 GAA Ldr 2.00
0.833 Save % Ldr 0.935
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
DUCKS
50%
📊
RANGERS
50%
▲ Edge: +6.80% (ANA)
DUCKS 44% Book Odds: +130
RANGERS 61% Book Odds: -155
Book Implied: 43.50% / 60.80%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 6.5 43%
Under 6.5 57%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
ANAHEIM
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.1 points (Anaheim)
DucksANA (+1.5) 0 RangersNYR (-1.5)
Anaheim Ducks (+1.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Ducks Cover

78.8%

Rangers Cover

21.2%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around ANA -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ANA)

ANA By 1 goal

18.9%

ANA By 2-3 goals

34.9%

NYR By 1 goal

8.6%

NYR By 2-3 goals

5.5%

AI Model Projected Score
3.8
ANAHEIM
Book Implied: 2.50
2.2
NEW YORK
Book Implied: 4
Simulated Score
2
ANAHEIM
Book Implied: 2.50
3
NEW YORK
Book Implied: 4
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Ducks Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Sim Rangers Win
69% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Ducks (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.6
A
Sim Ducks (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: +1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Sim u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 19, 2026 ANA @ NYR 2 - 5
Jan 19, 2026 NYR @ ANA 3 - 5
Dec 15, 2025 ANA @ NYR 4 - 1
Mar 28, 2025 NYR @ ANA 4 - 5
Oct 26, 2024 ANA @ NYR 1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +1.7%
Anaheim: 17.0% vs New York: 15.3%
Takeaways (L5) +79.3% more
New York: 4.7 vs Anaheim: 2.6
Faceoff % (L5) +12.5%
New York: 53.2% vs Anaheim: 40.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ANA Score 3.8 2
NYR Score 2.2 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 15.3 / 15.0 17.0 / 13.0
Faceoff % 53.2 / 40.7 54.4 / 45.6
Hits 24.3 / 24.9 15.0 / 29.0
Power Play % 15.3 / 17.0 25.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 24.3 / 25.1 30.0 / 31.0
Takeaways 4.7 / 2.6 2.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +114 / -135 → +130 / -155 ↑
14%TICKETS86%
17%MONEY83%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5 → +1.5 / -1.5
35%TICKETS65%
67%MONEY33%
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5 → 6.5 ↑
82%TICKETS18%
84%MONEY16%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYR
ANA
NYR
ANA
ML
65% 11-6
41% 7-10
47% 8-9
47% 8-9
ATS
53% 9-8
24% 4-13
47% 8-9
53% 9-8
TTL
59% 10-7
38% 6-10-1
47% 8-9
31% 5-11-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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