BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
6-2-0 | Road
4
ANAHEIM
DUCKSANA
4-3-0 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Michael DiPietro
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Lukas Dostal
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael DiPietro | None-None | 2.00 | 0.926 | -- |
| Lukas Dostal | None-None | 4.04 | 0.818 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.00 Ldr
GAA
4.04
0.926 Ldr
Save %
0.818
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
49%
DUCKS
51%
▲ Edge: +0.60% (ANA)
BRUINS
52%
Book Odds: -107
DUCKS
51%
Book Odds: -103
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
▼
Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 6.5
42%
Under 6.5
58%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
ANAHEIM
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.1 points (Anaheim)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around ANA -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ANA)
BOS By 1 goal
8.6%
BOS By 2-3 goals
5.5%
ANA By 1 goal
18.9%
ANA By 2-3 goals
34.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
2.2
BOSTON
Book Implied: 4
Anaheim
3.8
ANAHEIM
Book Implied: 2.50
Simulated Score
Boston
3
BOSTON
Book Implied: 4
Anaheim
2
ANAHEIM
Book Implied: 2.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Ducks
Loss
51% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bruins
Win
70% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Ducks (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.6
A
Sim
Ducks (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: +1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 16, 2026
BOS @ ANA
4 - 2
Nov 19, 2025
BOS @ ANA
3 - 4
Oct 23, 2025
ANA @ BOS
7 - 5
Mar 26, 2025
BOS @ ANA
2 - 6
Feb 22, 2025
ANA @ BOS
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+21.6% more
Anaheim: 19.1
vs
Boston: 15.7
Power Play % (L5)
+14.4%
Anaheim: 25.5%
vs
Boston: 11.1%
Takeaways (L5)
+31.6% more
Boston: 4.3
vs
Anaheim: 2.9
Faceoff % (L5)
+5.9%
Boston: 51.6%
vs
Anaheim: 45.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
2.2
4
ANA Score
3.8
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
19.1 / 15.7
7.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
45.6 / 51.6
31.0 / 69.0
Hits
25.8 / 26.2
23.0 / 11.0
Power Play %
25.5 / 11.1
0.0 / 75.0
Shots on Goal
24.2 / 26.0
27.0 / 22.0
Takeaways
2.9 / 4.3
2.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -120 / +100
→
-107 / -103
↑
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5
→
-1.5 / +1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 6.5
→
6.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ANA
BOS
ANA
BOS
ML
36%
5-9
75%
12-4
57%
8-6
44%
7-9
ATS
21%
3-11
56%
9-7
57%
8-6
50%
8-8
TTL
46%
6-7-1
56%
9-7
38%
5-8-1
44%
7-9
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