Home / LALIGA Projections LALIGA / Deportivo vs Levante Deportivo vs Levante

DEPORTIVODEPORTIVO

2-4-2  |  Home

1
FINAL
Fri, Oct 16 • 3:00 PM ET
Riazor

LEVANTELEVANTE

1-3-3  |  Away

1
AI Model Win Probability
DEPORTIVO
35%
DRAW
31%
LEVANTE
35%
▲ Edge: +23% (Levante)
49% Book Odds: +105
DRAW --
27% Book Odds: +270
Book Implied: 48.80% / % / 27%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
2.0
Projected
Book Total
2.5
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 2.5 47%
Under 2.5 53%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
0.0
LEVANTE
Book Goal Line
+0.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 goals (Levante)
DeportivoDeportivo (-0.5) 0 LevanteLevante (+0.5)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

46.3% / 53.7%

Shots (On Goal)

13(5) / 11(4)

Corners

3 / 5

Cards (Y/R)

2/0 - 2/0

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

50.0%

Cover

50.0%

+4.5+3+1.50-1.5-3-4.5
Distribution centered around Levante 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Levante)

Deportivo By 1 goal

21.1%

Deportivo By 2+ goals

15.9%

Levante By 1 goal

21.1%

Levante By 2+ goals

15.9%

AI Model Projected Score
1
DEPORTIVO
Book Implied: 1.50
1
LEVANTE
Book Implied: 1
Simulated Score
2
DEPORTIVO
Book Implied: 1.50
1
LEVANTE
Book Implied: 1
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Draw Win
44% Win Prob
A
Sim Deportivo Loss
61% Win Prob
C
Goal Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Levante (+0.5) Win
Proj Goals: 0.0
D
Sim Deportivo (-0.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI u2.5 Win
Proj Total: 2.0
D
Sim o2.5 Loss
Proj Total: 3.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 16, 2026 Deportivo vs Levante 1 - 1
Jan 27, 2018 Deportivo vs Levante 2 - 2
Aug 26, 2017 Levante vs Deportivo 2 - 2
Mar 19, 2016 Deportivo vs Levante 2 - 1
Nov 7, 2015 Levante vs Deportivo 1 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Goals Scored (L5) +57.1% more
Levante: 11.0 vs Deportivo: 7.0
Goals Conceded (L5) +50.0% more
Deportivo: 8.0 vs Levante: 12.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Levante Score 1.0 1
Deportivo Score 1.0 1
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 34.6% Draw: 30.9% Away Win: 34.6%
Deportivo (Home) vs Levante (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 32.3% Under 2.5: 67.7%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 2.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Deportivo Share: 50.0% Levante Share: 50.0%
AI Projected Score 1.0 - 1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Deportivo
Levante
Deportivo
Levante
ML
67% 6-3
88% 7-1
11% 1-8
38% 3-5
ATS
89% 8-1
88% 7-1
11% 1-8
25% 2-6
TTL
56% 5-4
50% 4-4
44% 4-5
38% 3-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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