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TULANE

TULANETULN

4-4  |  Road

38
FINAL
Fri, Oct 30 • 7:00 PM ET
Jerry Richardson Stadium
View Odds Details →

CHARLOTTE

CHARLOTTECLT

1-7  |  Home

31
Key Game
William Hudlow
KEY GAME

William Hudlow

#34 | Punter
@
Ian Kelly
KEY GAME

Ian Kelly

#44 | Punter
Player
William Hudlow None-None
Ian Kelly None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
TULANE
83%
📊
CHARLOTTE
17%
▲ Edge: +7.10% (TULN)
TULANE 76% Book Odds: -315
CHARLOTTE 27% Book Odds: +270
Book Implied: 75.90% / 27%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
49.0
Projected
Book Total
46.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +2.5 (Over)
Over 46.5 56%
Under 46.5 44%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.6
TULANE
Book Spread
-7.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.1 points (Tulane)
TulaneTULN (-7.5) 0 CharlotteCLT (+7.5)
Tulane Green Wave (-7.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tulane Cover

88.2%

Charlotte Cover

11.8%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around TULN -16.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TULN)

TULN By 1-6 points

11.0%

TULN By 7-13 points

17.7%

CLT By 1-6 points

6.1%

CLT By 7-13 points

3.4%

AI Model Projected Score
32.8
TULANE
Book Implied: 27
16.2
CHARLOTTE
Book Implied: 19.50
Simulated Score
25
TULANE
Book Implied: 27
24
CHARLOTTE
Book Implied: 19.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tulane Win
83% Win Prob
A
Sim Tulane Win
55% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Tulane (-7.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -16.6
A
Sim Charlotte (+7.5) Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI o46.5 Win
Proj Total: 49.0
C
Sim o46.5 Win
Proj Total: 49.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 30, 2026 TULN @ CLT 38 - 31
Nov 29, 2025 CLT @ TULN 0 - 27
Oct 31, 2024 TULN @ CLT 34 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +25.5% more
Tulane: 2.8 vs Charlotte: 2.1
Rushing Yards (L5) +15.2% more
Tulane: 127.5 vs Charlotte: 108.1
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +8.0% more
Tulane: 0.4 vs Charlotte: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TULN Score 32.8 38
CLT Score 16.2 31
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 15.8 / 16.2 26.0 / 23.0
Rushing Yards 108.1 / 127.5 216.0 / 183.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.4 0.5 / 0.62
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.56 / 0.44
Total Yards 313.6 / 335.5 455.0 / 467.0
Turnovers 2.1 / 2.8 0.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -535 / +400 → -315 / +270 ↑
94%TICKETS6%
57%MONEY43%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -13.5 / +13.5 → -7.5 / +7.5 ↑
63%TICKETS37%
66%MONEY34%
Total (O/U)
Open: 45.5 → 46.5 ↑
57%TICKETS43%
67%MONEY33%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TULN Advantage
5-5-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -6.3
CLT
1-9-0 (10.0%)
Margin: -16.9 ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TULN Advantage
5-5-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -6.3
CLT
4-6-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -16.9 ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
TULN
5-5-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.6
CLT
5-5-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +4.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLT
TULN
CLT
TULN
ML
80% 8-2
70% 7-3
80% 8-2
60% 6-4
ATS
50% 5-5
60% 6-4
60% 6-4
50% 5-5
TTL
40% 4-6
60% 6-4
50% 5-5
50% 5-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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