Home / LALIGA Projections LALIGA / Levante vs Sevilla Levante vs Sevilla

LEVANTELEVANTE

1-2-3  |  Home

3
FINAL
Mon, Oct 12 • 3:00 PM ET
Estadi Ciutat de València

SEVILLASEVILLA

4-1-2  |  Away

3
AI Model Win Probability
LEVANTE
35%
DRAW
31%
SEVILLA
35%
▲ Edge: +10% (Sevilla)
35% Book Odds: +190
DRAW --
40% Book Odds: +150
Book Implied: 34.50% / % / 40%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
2.0
Projected
Book Total
2.5
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 2.5 43%
Under 2.5 57%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
0.0
SEVILLA
Book Goal Line
-0.5
Book Line
LevanteLevante (+0.5) 0 SevillaSevilla (-0.5)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

56.7% / 43.3%

Shots (On Goal)

20(8) / 18(5)

Corners

5 / 2

Cards (Y/R)

2/0 - 4/1

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

50.0%

Cover

50.0%

+4.5+3+1.50-1.5-3-4.5
Distribution centered around Sevilla 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Sevilla)

Levante By 1 goal

21.1%

Levante By 2+ goals

15.9%

Sevilla By 1 goal

21.1%

Sevilla By 2+ goals

15.9%

AI Model Projected Score
1
LEVANTE
Book Implied: 1
1
SEVILLA
Book Implied: 1.50
Simulated Score
0
LEVANTE
Book Implied: 1
1
SEVILLA
Book Implied: 1.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Draw Win
45% Win Prob
A
Sim Sevilla Loss
54% Win Prob
D
Goal Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Sevilla (-0) Win
Proj Goals: 0.0
C
Sim Sevilla (-0.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI u2.25 Loss
Proj Total: 2.0
C
Sim u2.5 Loss
Proj Total: 1.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 12, 2026 Levante vs Sevilla 3 - 3
Apr 23, 2026 Levante vs Sevilla 2 - 0
Jan 4, 2026 Sevilla vs Levante 0 - 3
Apr 21, 2022 Levante vs Sevilla 2 - 3
Oct 24, 2021 Sevilla vs Levante 5 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Wins (L5) +100.0% more
Sevilla: 2.0 vs Levante: 1.0
Goals Conceded (L5) +28.6% more
Sevilla: 7.0 vs Levante: 9.0
Draws (L5) +100.0% more
Levante: 2.0 vs Sevilla: 1.0
Goals Scored (L5) +60.0% more
Levante: 8.0 vs Sevilla: 5.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Sevilla Score 1.0 3
Levante Score 1.0 3
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 34.6% Draw: 30.9% Away Win: 34.6%
Levante (Home) vs Sevilla (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 32.3% Under 2.5: 67.7%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 2.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Levante Share: 50.0% Sevilla Share: 50.0%
AI Projected Score 1.0 - 1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Levante
Sevilla
Levante
Sevilla
ML
86% 6-1
88% 7-1
43% 3-4
38% 3-5
ATS
86% 6-1
88% 7-1
29% 2-5
47% 3-4
TTL
43% 3-4
38% 3-5
43% 3-4
75% 6-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
No relevant news articles found for this game.