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FULHAMFULHAM

1-2-4  |  Home

1
FINAL
Sat, Oct 17 • 10:00 AM ET
Craven Cottage

HULLHULL

2-3-1  |  Away

0
AI Model Win Probability
FULHAM
61%
DRAW
21%
HULL
18%
▲ Edge: +31.10% (Hull City)
60% Book Odds: -150
DRAW 25% Book Odds: +305
18% Book Odds: +450
Book Implied: 60% / 24.70% / 18.20%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.0
Projected
Book Total
2.75
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 (Over)
Over 2.75 62%
Under 2.75 38%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
-1.0
FULHAM
Book Goal Line
-0.75
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 goals (Fulham)
FulhamFulham (-0.8) 0 HullHull (+0.8)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

76.2% / 23.8%

Shots (On Goal)

18(6) / 5(0)

Corners

10 / 2

Cards (Y/R)

2/1 - 2/0

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

74.8%

Cover

25.2%

-4.5-3-1.50+1.5+3+4.5
Distribution centered around Fulham -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Fulham)

Fulham By 1 goal

26.1%

Fulham By 2+ goals

36.9%

Hull City By 1 goal

11.1%

Hull City By 2+ goals

4.8%

AI Model Projected Score
2
FULHAM
Book Implied: 1.80
1
HULL
Book Implied: 1
Simulated Score
2
FULHAM
Book Implied: 1.80
1
HULL
Book Implied: 1
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Fulham Win
51% Win Prob
D
Sim Fulham Win
61% Win Prob
C
Goal Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Fulham (-0.75)
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Fulham (-0.75)
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI o2.75 Loss
Proj Total: 3.0
C
Sim o2.8 Loss
Proj Total: 3.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 17, 2026 Fulham vs Hull 1 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Wins (L5) +100.0% more
Fulham: 1.0 vs Hull: 0.0
Goals Scored (L5) +40.0% more
Fulham: 7.0 vs Hull: 5.0
Draws (L5) +50.0% more
Hull: 3.0 vs Fulham: 2.0
Goals Conceded (L5) +14.3% more
Hull: 7.0 vs Fulham: 8.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Hull City Score 1.0 0
Fulham Score 2.0 1
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 60.6% Draw: 21.2% Away Win: 18.3%
Fulham (Home) vs Hull City (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 57.7% Under 2.5: 42.3%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 3.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Fulham Share: 66.7% Hull City Share: 33.3%
AI Projected Score 2.0 - 1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Fulham
Hull City
Fulham
Hull City
ML
43% 3-4
57% 4-3
43% 3-4
43% 3-4
ATS
46% 3-3
80% 4-1-2
38% 2-4
45% 2-3-1
TTL
69% 4-2
62% 4-2
54% 3-3
17% 1-5-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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