Home / Premier League Projections Premier League / Hull vs Everton Hull vs Everton

HULLHULL

2-3-1  |  Home

2
FINAL
Sun, Oct 11 • 9:00 AM ET
The MKM Stadium

EVERTONEVERTON

2-3-0  |  Away

2
AI Model Win Probability
HULL
18%
DRAW
21%
EVERTON
61%
▲ Edge: +29.50% (Hull City)
24% Book Odds: +319
DRAW 30% Book Odds: +236
49% Book Odds: +103
Book Implied: 23.90% / 29.80% / 49.30%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.0
Projected
Book Total
2.25
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 (Over)
Over 2.25 56%
Under 2.25 44%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
-1.0
EVERTON
Book Goal Line
-0.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 goals (Everton)
HullHull (+0.5) 0 EvertonEverton (-0.5)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

35.1% / 64.9%

Shots (On Goal)

9(5) / 15(7)

Corners

7 / 6

Cards (Y/R)

2/0 - 0/0

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

25.2%

Cover

74.8%

+4.5+3+1.50-1.5-3-4.5
Distribution centered around Everton -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Everton)

Hull City By 1 goal

11.1%

Hull City By 2+ goals

4.8%

Everton By 1 goal

26.1%

Everton By 2+ goals

36.9%

AI Model Projected Score
1
HULL
Book Implied: 0.90
2
EVERTON
Book Implied: 1.40
Simulated Score
1
HULL
Book Implied: 0.90
1
EVERTON
Book Implied: 1.40
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Everton Loss
47% Win Prob
D
Sim Draw Win
29% Win Prob
C
Goal Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Everton (-0.5)
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Hull City (+0.5) Win
Proj Goals: 0.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI o2.25 Win
Proj Total: 3.0
C
Sim u2.3 Loss
Proj Total: 2.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 11, 2026 Hull vs Everton 2 - 2
Mar 18, 2017 Everton vs Hull 4 - 0
Dec 30, 2016 Hull vs Everton 2 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Losses (L5) +200.0% more
Everton: 0.0 vs Hull: 2.0
Wins (L5) +100.0% more
Everton: 2.0 vs Hull: 1.0
Goals Conceded (L5) +66.7% more
Everton: 3.0 vs Hull: 5.0
Draws (L5) +50.0% more
Everton: 3.0 vs Hull: 2.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Everton Score 2.0 2
Hull City Score 1.0 2
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 18.3% Draw: 21.2% Away Win: 60.6%
Hull City (Home) vs Everton (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 57.7% Under 2.5: 42.3%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 3.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Hull City Share: 33.3% Everton Share: 66.7%
AI Projected Score 1.0 - 2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Hull City
Everton
Hull City
Everton
ML
50% 3-3
50% 3-3
33% 2-4
50% 3-3
ATS
89% 4-0-1
80% 4-1-1
40% 2-3-1
45% 2-3
TTL
73% 4-1
33% 2-4
20% 1-4-1
33% 2-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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