C PALACEC PALACE
1-1-3 | Home
3
NOTTM FORESTNOTTM FOREST
1-2-2 | Away
1
AI Model Win Probability
C PALACE
35%
DRAW
31%
NOTTM FOREST
35%
▲ Edge: +10.80% (Nottingham Forest)
34%
Book Odds: +191
DRAW
29%
Book Odds: +240
39%
Book Odds: +155
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
2.0
Projected
Book Total
2.5
Over / Under Line
▼
Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 2.5
41%
Under 2.5
59%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
0.0
NOTTM FOREST
Book Goal Line
--
Book Line
Soccer Match Statistics
Possession
43.4% / 56.6%
Shots (On Goal)
13(7) / 24(6)
Corners
5 / 8
Cards (Y/R)
2/0 - 2/0
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+4.5+3+1.50-1.5-3-4.5
Distribution centered around Nottingham Forest 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Nottingham Forest)
Crystal Palace By 1 goal
21.1%
Crystal Palace By 2+ goals
15.9%
Nottingham Forest By 1 goal
21.1%
Nottingham Forest By 2+ goals
15.9%
AI Model Projected Score
C Palace
1
C PALACE
Book Implied: 1.20
Nottm Forest
1
NOTTM FOREST
Book Implied: 1.20
Simulated Score
C Palace
1
C PALACE
Book Implied: 1.20
Nottm Forest
1
NOTTM FOREST
Book Implied: 1.20
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Draw
Loss
37% Win Prob
B
Sim
Draw
Loss
29% Win Prob
C
Goal Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Crystal Palace (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: 0.0
D
Sim
Crystal Palace (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: 0.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI
u2.5
Loss
Proj Total: 2.0
C
Sim
u2.5
Loss
Proj Total: 2.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 11, 2026
C Palace vs Nottm Forest
3 - 1
Feb 1, 2026
Nottm Forest vs C Palace
1 - 1
Aug 24, 2025
C Palace vs Nottm Forest
1 - 1
May 5, 2025
C Palace vs Nottm Forest
1 - 1
Oct 21, 2024
Nottm Forest vs C Palace
1 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Draws (L5)
+100.0% more
Nottm Forest: 2.0
vs
C Palace: 1.0
Goals Scored (L5)
+125.0% more
C Palace: 9.0
vs
Nottm Forest: 4.0
Wins (L5)
+100.0% more
C Palace: 2.0
vs
Nottm Forest: 1.0
Goals Conceded (L5)
+20.0% more
C Palace: 5.0
vs
Nottm Forest: 6.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
Nottingham Forest Score
1.0
1
Crystal Palace Score
1.0
3
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Crystal Palace (Home)
vs
Nottingham Forest (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Book Line: 2.5 Goals
AI Predicted TTL: 2.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
AI Projected Score
1.0 - 1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Crystal Palace
Nottingham Forest
Crystal Palace
Nottingham Forest
ML
33%
2-4
0%
0-6
17%
1-5
0%
0-6
ATS
67%
4-2
60%
3-2-1
33%
2-4
0%
0-5-1
TTL
33%
2-4
33%
2-4
50%
3-3
33%
2-4