Home / LALIGA Projections LALIGA / Betis vs Osasuna Betis vs Osasuna

BETISBETIS

6-1-1  |  Home

5
FINAL
Sun, Oct 11 • 12:30 PM ET
Estadio La Cartuja

OSASUNAOSASUNA

2-2-4  |  Away

2
AI Model Win Probability
BETIS
78%
DRAW
13%
OSASUNA
9%
▲ Edge: +5.80% (Osasuna)
68% Book Odds: -215
DRAW --
15% Book Odds: +550
Book Implied: 68.30% / % / 15.40%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
2.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +1.5 (Over)
Over 2.5 68%
Under 2.5 32%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
-2.0
BETIS
Book Goal Line
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 goals (Betis)
BetisBetis (-1.5) 0 OsasunaOsasuna (+1.5)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

51.7% / 48.3%

Shots (On Goal)

20(7) / 11(5)

Corners

8 / 4

Cards (Y/R)

2/0 - 5/0

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

90.9%

Cover

9.1%

-4.5-3-1.50+1.5+3+4.5
Distribution centered around Real Betis -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Real Betis)

Real Betis By 1 goal

21.1%

Real Betis By 2+ goals

63.1%

Osasuna By 1 goal

3.8%

Osasuna By 2+ goals

1.0%

AI Model Projected Score
3
BETIS
Book Implied: 2
1
OSASUNA
Book Implied: 0.50
Simulated Score
3
BETIS
Book Implied: 2
0
OSASUNA
Book Implied: 0.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Real Betis Win
79% Win Prob
A
Sim Real Betis Win
94% Win Prob
A
Goal Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Real Betis (-1.25) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Sim Real Betis (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI o3.0 Win
Proj Total: 4.0
B
Sim u2.5 Loss
Proj Total: 3.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 11, 2026 Betis vs Osasuna 5 - 2
Apr 12, 2026 Osasuna vs Betis 1 - 1
Sep 28, 2025 Betis vs Osasuna 2 - 0
May 11, 2025 Betis vs Osasuna 1 - 1
Oct 19, 2024 Osasuna vs Betis 1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Wins (L5) +300.0% more
Betis: 4.0 vs Osasuna: 1.0
Losses (L5) +300.0% more
Betis: 0.0 vs Osasuna: 3.0
Goals Conceded (L5) +200.0% more
Betis: 4.0 vs Osasuna: 12.0
Goals Scored (L5) +100.0% more
Betis: 8.0 vs Osasuna: 4.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Osasuna Score 1.0 2
Real Betis Score 3.0 5
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 77.5% Draw: 13.1% Away Win: 9.4%
Real Betis (Home) vs Osasuna (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 76.2% Under 2.5: 23.8%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 4.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Real Betis Share: 75.0% Osasuna Share: 25.0%
AI Projected Score 3.0 - 1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Real Betis
Osasuna
Real Betis
Osasuna
ML
50% 4-4
50% 4-4
25% 2-6
50% 4-4
ATS
50% 4-4
38% 3-5
38% 3-5
62% 5-3
TTL
75% 6-2
62% 5-3
38% 3-5
60% 4-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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