LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
100-62 | Road
4
MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
103-59 | Home
7
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Justin Wrobleski
#70 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Aaron Ashby
#26 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Wrobleski | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 0.2 | 1 |
| Aaron Ashby | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 1.2 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
0.00
ERA
0.00
--
WHIP
--
0.2
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 1.2
1
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
53%
BREWERS
47%
▲ Edge: +0.90% (MIL)
DODGERS
57%
Book Odds: -130
BREWERS
46%
Book Odds: +116
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
7.0
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +2.0 (Over)
Over 7.0
69%
Under 7.0
31%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAD -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)
LAD By 1-2 runs
19.6%
LAD By 3-4 runs
18.4%
MIL By 1-2 runs
13.6%
MIL By 3-4 runs
7.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
5.5
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 4.20
Milwaukee
3.5
MILWAUKEE
Book Implied: 2.80
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
6
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 4.20
Milwaukee
5
MILWAUKEE
Book Implied: 2.80
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Dodgers
Loss
53% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dodgers
Loss
61% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Dodgers (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim
Brewers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: +1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
o7.0
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
A
Sim
o7.0
Win
Proj Total: 11.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 15, 2026
MIL @ LAD
6 - 4
Oct 14, 2026
MIL @ LAD
6 - 2
Oct 12, 2026
LAD @ MIL
4 - 7
Oct 11, 2026
LAD @ MIL
1 - 2
Aug 16, 2026
MIL @ LAD
6 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAD
vs
Milwaukee
MIL
162
Games Played
162
4.94
Runs / Game
▲
5.14
.257
Avg (AVG)
▲
.258
.338
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.341
.424
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.403
.762
▲
OPS
.743
204
▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+33.0% more
Los Angeles: 1.1
vs
Milwaukee: 0.7
Home Runs (Season)
+24.5% more
Los Angeles: 204.0
vs
Milwaukee: 154.0
Slugging Pct (Season)
+2.1%
Los Angeles: 42.4%
vs
Milwaukee: 40.3%
OPS (Season)
+1.9%
Los Angeles: 76.2%
vs
Milwaukee: 74.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAD Score
5.5
4
MIL Score
3.5
7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.7 / 0.0
2.0 / 2.0
Hits
8.0 / 6.9
12.0 / 3.0
Home Runs
0.7 / 1.1
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
8.7 / 8.1
10.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
11.5 / 10.5
16.0 / 4.0
Walks
4.2 / 4.0
6.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -103 / -107
→
-130 / +116
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
-1.5 / +1.5
↓
Total (O/U)
Open: 6
→
7
↑
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD
103-67-0
(60.6%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
114-61-0
(65.1%)
Margin: 1.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(42.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
(53.7%)
Margin: 1.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
75-90-5
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.1
MIL
78-92-5
O: 45.9% / U: 54.1%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
LAD
MIL
LAD
ML
61%
104-67
54%
92-77
53%
90-81
48%
81-89
ATS
56%
95-76
58%
98-71
49%
83-88
44%
75-95
TTL
41%
67-96-8
49%
80-83-6
51%
83-80-8
45%
73-91-6
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