MILWAUKEE

BREWERSMIL

103-59  |  Road

6
FINAL
Wed, Oct 14 • 8:00 PM ET
Dodger Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

100-62  |  Home

2
Probable Pitchers
Robert Gasser
STARTING PITCHER

Robert Gasser

#54 | Starting Pitcher
@
Blake Snell
STARTING PITCHER

Blake Snell

#7 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Robert Gasser 0-0 2.25 1.00 4.0 3
Blake Snell 0-0 2.45 2.18 3.2 5
0-0 W-L 0-0
2.25 Ldr ERA 2.45
1.00 Ldr WHIP 2.18
4.0 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 3.2
3 K (Strikeouts) Ldr 5
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
44%
📊
DODGERS
56%
▲ Edge: +5.20% (MIL)
BREWERS 39% Book Odds: +156
DODGERS 64% Book Odds: -175
Book Implied: 39.10% / 63.60%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.4
Projected
Book Total
7.0
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 (Over)
Over 7.0 60%
Under 7.0 40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Los Angeles)
BrewersMIL (+1.5) 0 DodgersLAD (-1.5)
Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Brewers Cover

30.9%

Dodgers Cover

69.1%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAD -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)

MIL By 1-2 runs

13.6%

MIL By 3-4 runs

7.8%

LAD By 1-2 runs

19.6%

LAD By 3-4 runs

18.4%

AI Model Projected Score
3.2
MILWAUKEE
Book Implied: 2.80
5.2
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 4.20
Simulated Score
6
MILWAUKEE
Book Implied: 2.80
5
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 4.20
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Dodgers Loss
56% Win Prob
D
Sim Brewers Win
61% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Dodgers (-1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
C
Sim Brewers (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI o7.0 Win
Proj Total: 8.4
B
Sim o7.0 Win
Proj Total: 11.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 15, 2026 MIL @ LAD 6 - 4
Oct 14, 2026 MIL @ LAD 6 - 2
Oct 12, 2026 LAD @ MIL 4 - 7
Oct 11, 2026 LAD @ MIL 1 - 2
Aug 16, 2026 MIL @ LAD 6 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Milwaukee MIL
vs
Los Angeles LAD
162
Games Played
162
5.14 ▲
Runs / Game
4.94
.258 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.257
.341 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.338
.403
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .424
.743
OPS
▲ .762
154
Home Runs
▲ 204
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +32.5% more
Los Angeles: 204.0 vs Milwaukee: 154.0
Slugging Pct (Season) +2.1%
Los Angeles: 42.4% vs Milwaukee: 40.3%
OPS (Season) +1.9%
Los Angeles: 76.2% vs Milwaukee: 74.3%
Errors (L5) +41.4% more
Milwaukee: 1.2 vs Los Angeles: 0.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIL Score 3.2 6
LAD Score 5.2 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.7 / 1.2 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 5.6 / 9.4 5.0 / 9.0
Home Runs 0.7 / 0.8 0.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts 8.4 / 9.1 8.0 / 12.0
Total Bases 8.3 / 13.0 6.0 / 18.0
Walks 3.3 / 4.8 4.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +137 / -166 → +156 / -175 ↑
19%TICKETS81%
31%MONEY69%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5 → +1.5 / -1.5
26%TICKETS74%
25%MONEY75%
Total (O/U)
Open: 7.5 → 7 ↓
92%TICKETS8%
91%MONEY9%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL Advantage
114-61-0 (65.1%)
Margin: 1.4 ATS +/-:
LAD
103-67-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL Advantage
(53.7%)
Margin: 1.4 ATS +/-:
LAD
(42.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
78-92-5
O: 45.9% / U: 54.1% Total +/-: +0.8
LAD
75-90-5
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +0.1