LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

100-62  |  Road

1
FINAL
Sun, Oct 11 • 8:00 PM ET
American Family Field
View Odds Details →

MILWAUKEE

BREWERSMIL

103-59  |  Home

2
Probable Pitchers
Tanner Scott
STARTING PITCHER

Tanner Scott

#66 | Relief Pitcher
@
Trevor Megill
STARTING PITCHER

Trevor Megill

#29 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Tanner Scott None-None 4.91 -- 1.0 1
Trevor Megill None-None 0.00 -- 1.0 --
None-None W-L None-None
4.91 ERA Ldr 0.00
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
1 Ldr K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
53%
📊
BREWERS
47%
▲ Edge: +0.80% (LAD)
DODGERS 52% Book Odds: -108
BREWERS 51% Book Odds: -103
Book Implied: 51.90% / 50.70%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
6.0
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 (Over)
Over 6.0 79%
Under 6.0 21%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Los Angeles)
DodgersLAD (-1.5) 0 BrewersMIL (+1.5)
Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dodgers Cover

69.1%

Brewers Cover

30.9%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAD -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)

LAD By 1-2 runs

19.6%

LAD By 3-4 runs

18.4%

MIL By 1-2 runs

13.6%

MIL By 3-4 runs

7.8%

AI Model Projected Score
5.5
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 3.80
3.5
MILWAUKEE
Book Implied: 2.20
Simulated Score
6
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 3.80
5
MILWAUKEE
Book Implied: 2.20
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Dodgers Loss
53% Win Prob
D
Sim Dodgers Loss
61% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Dodgers (-1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
A
Sim Dodgers (-1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI o6.0 Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
A
Sim o6.0 Loss
Proj Total: 11.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 15, 2026 MIL @ LAD 6 - 4
Oct 14, 2026 MIL @ LAD 6 - 2
Oct 12, 2026 LAD @ MIL 4 - 7
Oct 11, 2026 LAD @ MIL 1 - 2
Aug 16, 2026 MIL @ LAD 6 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAD
vs
Milwaukee MIL
162
Games Played
162
4.94
Runs / Game
▲ 5.14
.257
Avg (AVG)
▲ .258
.338
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .341
.424 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.403
.762 ▲
OPS
.743
204 ▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +63.8% more
Los Angeles: 1.6 vs Milwaukee: 0.6
Home Runs (Season) +24.5% more
Los Angeles: 204.0 vs Milwaukee: 154.0
Strikeouts (L5) +20.1% more
Los Angeles: 8.2 vs Milwaukee: 6.5
Slugging Pct (Season) +2.1%
Los Angeles: 42.4% vs Milwaukee: 40.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAD Score 5.5 1
MIL Score 3.5 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 1.1 / 0.0 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 9.0 / 6.8 6.0 / 7.0
Home Runs 0.6 / 1.6 1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 6.5 / 8.2 13.0 / 8.0
Total Bases 12.3 / 12.2 10.0 / 7.0
Walks 3.9 / 2.9 5.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -103 / -107 → -108 / -103 ↓
53%TICKETS47%
57%MONEY43%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5 → -1.5 / +1.5 ↓
41%TICKETS59%
28%MONEY72%
Total (O/U)
Open: 6 → 6
89%TICKETS11%
85%MONEY15%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD
103-67-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
MIL Advantage
114-61-0 (65.1%)
Margin: 1.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(42.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
MIL Advantage
(53.7%)
Margin: 1.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
75-90-5
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +0.1
MIL
78-92-5
O: 45.9% / U: 54.1% Total +/-: +0.8