CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
1-6-0 | Road
2
VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
7-2-0 | Home
6
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Dustin Wolf
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Carter Hart
#79 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Wolf | None-None | 6.00 | 0.818 | -- |
| Carter Hart | None-None | 2.01 | 0.933 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
6.00
GAA
Ldr 2.01
0.818
Save %
Ldr 0.933
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
27%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
73%
FLAMES
29%
Book Odds: +242
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
74%
Book Odds: -278
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.5
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
Over 6.5
41%
Under 6.5
59%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.5
CALGARY
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CGY +1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CGY)
CGY By 1 goal
9.2%
CGY By 2-3 goals
6.1%
VGK By 1 goal
19.1%
VGK By 2-3 goals
34.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Calgary
2.5
CALGARY
Book Implied: 2.50
Vegas
4
VEGAS
Book Implied: 4
Simulated Score
Calgary
4
CALGARY
Book Implied: 2.50
Vegas
2
VEGAS
Book Implied: 4
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
Golden Knights
Win
73% Win Prob
A
Sim
Flames
Loss
84% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Flames (-1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.5
D
Sim
Flames (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 6.5
B
Sim
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 15, 2026
CGY @ VGK
2 - 6
Apr 2, 2026
CGY @ VGK
3 - 6
Dec 20, 2025
VGK @ CGY
3 - 6
Oct 18, 2025
CGY @ VGK
1 - 6
Oct 14, 2025
VGK @ CGY
4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+11.1% more
Vegas: 15.4
vs
Calgary: 13.9
Power Play % (L5)
+8.1%
Vegas: 16.3%
vs
Calgary: 8.2%
Hits (L5)
+14.1% more
Calgary: 21.4
vs
Vegas: 18.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CGY Score
2.5
2
VGK Score
4.0
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.4 / 13.9
15.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
52.5 / 51.7
50.8 / 49.2
Hits
18.4 / 21.4
17.0 / 24.0
Power Play %
16.3 / 8.2
40.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
28.6 / 30.9
33.0 / 30.0
Takeaways
4.2 / 4.0
5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +235 / -290
→
+242 / -278
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5
→
6.5
↑
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
CGY
VGK
CGY
ML
69%
11-5
40%
6-9
56%
9-7
53%
8-7
ATS
50%
8-8
27%
4-11
69%
11-5
53%
8-7
TTL
31%
5-11
50%
7-7-1
44%
7-9
43%
6-8-1
Contextual Game News
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NHL Halloween Parties: Golden Knights' Noah Hanifin Left Seeing …
Kraken's Penalty Kill Torched Again in 6-2 Loss to Flames
Coronato's Career Night Propels Flames Past Kraken 6-2
Jarry Shines with 24-Save Shutout as Oilers Blank Flames 4-0