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CINCINNATI

BENGALSCIN

4-2  |  Road

35
FINAL
Sun, Oct 25 • 1:00 PM ET
M&T Bank Stadium
View Odds Details →

BALTIMORE

RAVENSBAL

4-3  |  Home

13
Key Game
Ryan Rehkow
KEY GAME

Ryan Rehkow

#8 | Punter
@
Ryan Eckley
KEY GAME

Ryan Eckley

#30 | Punter
Player
Ryan Rehkow None-None
Ryan Eckley None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
BENGALS
39%
📊
RAVENS
61%
▲ Edge: +18.60% (BAL)
BENGALS 62% Book Odds: -162
RAVENS 42% Book Odds: +136
Book Implied: 61.80% / 42.40%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
48.0
Projected
Book Total
46.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +1.5 (Over)
Over 46.5 56%
Under 46.5 44%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
BALTIMORE
Book Spread
+3
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Baltimore)
BengalsCIN (-3) 0 RavensBAL (+3)
Baltimore Ravens (+3) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bengals Cover

41.5%

Ravens Cover

58.5%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around BAL -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BAL)

CIN By 1-6 points

15.3%

CIN By 7-13 points

12.9%

BAL By 1-6 points

17.0%

BAL By 7-13 points

17.5%

AI Model Projected Score
22.5
CINCINNATI
Book Implied: 24.80
25.5
BALTIMORE
Book Implied: 21.80
Simulated Score
27
CINCINNATI
Book Implied: 24.80
23
BALTIMORE
Book Implied: 21.80
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Ravens Loss
61% Win Prob
C
Sim Bengals Win
66% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Ravens (+3) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
A
Sim Bengals (-3) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI o46.5 Win
Proj Total: 48.0
C
Sim o46.5 Win
Proj Total: 50.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 25, 2026 CIN @ BAL 35 - 13
Dec 14, 2025 BAL @ CIN 24 - 0
Nov 27, 2025 CIN @ BAL 32 - 14
Nov 7, 2024 CIN @ BAL 34 - 35
Oct 6, 2024 BAL @ CIN 41 - 38
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +59.0% more
Baltimore: 142.5 vs Cincinnati: 89.6
Turnovers (L5) +42.8% more
Cincinnati: 1.4 vs Baltimore: 0.8
Net Passing Yards (L5) +25.6% more
Cincinnati: 259.2 vs Baltimore: 193.0
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +15.0% more
Cincinnati: 0.5 vs Baltimore: 0.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CIN Score 22.5 35
BAL Score 25.5 13
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 18.8 / 21.8 17.0 / 21.0
Net Passing Yards 193.0 / 259.2 276.0 / 284.0
Rushing Yards 142.5 / 89.6 83.0 / 73.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.5 0.56 / 0.55
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.58 / 0.42
Total Yards 335.4 / 348.8 359.0 / 357.0
Turnovers 0.8 / 1.4 1.0 / 0.0
Yards Per Play 5.4 / 5.5 5.5 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +150 / -180 → -162 / +136 ↓
63%TICKETS37%
83%MONEY17%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +3.5 / -3.5 → -3 / +3 ↓
67%TICKETS33%
74%MONEY26%
Total (O/U)
Open: 51.5 → 46.5 ↓
52%TICKETS48%
51%MONEY49%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CIN Advantage
4-2-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +3.9
BAL
4-3-0 (57.1%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-: -3.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CIN Advantage
3-3-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +3.9
BAL
2-5-0 (28.6%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-: -3.1
⚖️ Over/Under
CIN
4-2-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +0.3
BAL
4-3-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BAL
CIN
BAL
CIN
ML
57% 4-3
50% 3-3
43% 3-4
50% 3-3
ATS
33% 2-4-1
20% 1-4-1
83% 5-1-1
80% 4-1-1
TTL
29% 2-5
50% 3-3
29% 2-5
83% 5-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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