Home / NFL Projections NFL / Browns @ Titans CLE @ TEN

CLEVELAND

BROWNSCLE

5-2  |  Road

27
FINAL
Sun, Oct 25 • 1:00 PM ET
Nissan Stadium
View Odds Details →

TENNESSEE

TITANSTEN

1-6  |  Home

24
Key Game
Corey Bojorquez
KEY GAME

Corey Bojorquez

#13 | Punter
@
Tommy Townsend
KEY GAME

Tommy Townsend

#3 | Punter
Player
Corey Bojorquez None-None
Tommy Townsend None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
BROWNS
49%
📊
TITANS
51%
▲ Edge: +4.20% (TEN)
BROWNS 56% Book Odds: -125
TITANS 47% Book Odds: +113
Book Implied: 55.60% / 46.90%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
40.0
Projected
Book Total
37.0
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 (Over)
Over 37.0 60%
Under 37.0 40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.6
TENNESSEE
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.1 points (Tennessee)
BrownsCLE (-1.5) 0 TitansTEN (+1.5)
Tennessee Titans (+1.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Browns Cover

34.5%

Titans Cover

65.5%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around TEN -5.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEN)

CLE By 1-6 points

13.8%

CLE By 7-13 points

10.7%

TEN By 1-6 points

16.8%

TEN By 7-13 points

18.8%

AI Model Projected Score
17.2
CLEVELAND
Book Implied: 19.20
22.8
TENNESSEE
Book Implied: 17.80
Simulated Score
18
CLEVELAND
Book Implied: 19.20
21
TENNESSEE
Book Implied: 17.80
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Titans Loss
51% Win Prob
D
Sim Titans Loss
61% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Titans (+1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.6
A
Sim Titans (+1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI o37.0 Win
Proj Total: 40.0
B
Sim o37.0 Win
Proj Total: 39.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 25, 2026 CLE @ TEN 27 - 24
Dec 7, 2025 TEN @ CLE 31 - 29
Sep 24, 2023 TEN @ CLE 3 - 27
Dec 6, 2020 CLE @ TEN 41 - 35
Sep 8, 2019 TEN @ CLE 43 - 13
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +29.5% more
Tennessee: 1.4 vs Cleveland: 1.1
Rushing Yards (L5) +16.8% more
Cleveland: 98.1 vs Tennessee: 81.6
Total Yards (L5) +13.5% more
Cleveland: 259.8 vs Tennessee: 224.7
Net Passing Yards (L5) +11.5% more
Cleveland: 161.7 vs Tennessee: 143.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLE Score 17.2 27
TEN Score 22.8 24
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 14.5 / 15.6 18.0 / 26.0
Net Passing Yards 143.1 / 161.7 181.0 / 308.0
Rushing Yards 81.6 / 98.1 141.0 / 183.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.3 0.38 / 0.45
Time of Possession 0.4 / 0.5 0.48 / 0.52
Total Yards 224.7 / 259.8 322.0 / 491.0
Turnovers 1.4 / 1.1 2.0 / 2.0
Yards Per Play 4.3 / 4.3 5.2 / 7.4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +114 / -135 → -125 / +113 ↓
85%TICKETS15%
89%MONEY11%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +2.5 / -2.5 → -1.5 / +1.5 ↓
67%TICKETS33%
59%MONEY41%
Total (O/U)
Open: 40.5 → 37 ↓
55%TICKETS45%
49%MONEY51%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE Advantage
5-2-0 (71.4%)
Margin: -1.9 ATS +/-: +1.8
TEN
1-6-0 (14.3%)
Margin: -6.9 ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE Advantage
5-2-0 (71.4%)
Margin: -1.9 ATS +/-: +1.8
TEN
3-4-0 (42.9%)
Margin: -6.9 ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
4-3-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +0.2
TEN
3-4-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1% Total +/-: -2.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEN
CLE
TEN
CLE
ML
57% 4-3
29% 2-5
43% 3-4
57% 4-3
ATS
43% 3-4
43% 3-4
57% 4-3
43% 3-4
TTL
29% 2-5
57% 4-3
43% 3-4
43% 3-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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