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BOSTON

BRUINSBOS

5-2-0  |  Road

6
FINAL
Tue, Oct 13 • 11:00 PM ET
SAP Center at San Jose
View Odds Details →

SAN JOSE

SHARKSSJ

3-3-0  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Jeremy Swayman
GOALTENDER

Jeremy Swayman

#1 | Goaltender
@
Yaroslav Askarov
GOALTENDER

Yaroslav Askarov

#30 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jeremy Swayman None-None 3.00 0.921 --
Yaroslav Askarov None-None 5.20 0.800 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
3.00 Ldr GAA 5.20
0.921 Ldr Save % 0.800
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
61%
📊
SHARKS
39%
▲ Edge: +5.30% (BOS)
BRUINS 55% Book Odds: -124
SHARKS 47% Book Odds: +112
Book Implied: 55.40% / 47.20%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 6.5 42%
Under 6.5 58%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
BOSTON
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Boston)
BruinsBOS (-1.5) 0 SharksSJ (+1.5)
Boston Bruins (-1.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bruins Cover

78.8%

Sharks Cover

21.2%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around BOS -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)

BOS By 1 goal

18.9%

BOS By 2-3 goals

34.9%

SJ By 1 goal

8.6%

SJ By 2-3 goals

5.5%

AI Model Projected Score
3.8
BOSTON
Book Implied: 4
2.2
SAN JOSE
Book Implied: 2.50
Simulated Score
3
BOSTON
Book Implied: 4
4
SAN JOSE
Book Implied: 2.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bruins Win
61% Win Prob
C
Sim Sharks Loss
69% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bruins (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.6
D
Sim Sharks (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Sim o6.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 24, 2026 SJ @ BOS 4 - 6
Oct 13, 2026 BOS @ SJ 6 - 3
Mar 12, 2026 SJ @ BOS 4 - 2
Nov 23, 2025 BOS @ SJ 1 - 3
Mar 22, 2025 BOS @ SJ 1 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +10.2% more
Boston: 26.0 vs San Jose: 23.4
Faceoff % (L5) +6.9%
Boston: 51.1% vs San Jose: 44.2%
Power Play % (L5) +6.8%
Boston: 16.7% vs San Jose: 9.9%
Hits (L5) +15.4% more
San Jose: 30.9 vs Boston: 26.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BOS Score 3.8 6
SJ Score 2.2 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 15.1 / 14.0 9.0 / 19.0
Faceoff % 44.2 / 51.1 47.5 / 52.5
Hits 30.9 / 26.8 28.0 / 25.0
Power Play % 9.9 / 16.7 50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 23.4 / 26.0 38.0 / 26.0
Takeaways 5.3 / 4.9 4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +102 / -122 → -124 / +112 ↓
65%TICKETS35%
85%MONEY15%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5 → -1.5 / +1.5 ↓
46%TICKETS54%
62%MONEY38%
Total (O/U)
Open: 6.5 → 6.5
90%TICKETS10%
94%MONEY6%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SJ
BOS
SJ
BOS
ML
60% 9-6
73% 11-4
33% 5-10
40% 6-9
ATS
47% 7-8
53% 8-7
40% 6-9
47% 7-8
TTL
40% 6-9
60% 9-6
53% 8-7
40% 6-9
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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