Home / NHL Projections NHL / Oilers @ Kings EDM @ LA

EDMONTON

OILERSEDM

5-0-1  |  Road

4
FINAL
Tue, Oct 13 • 10:30 PM ET
crypto.com Arena
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

KINGSLA

0-3-2  |  Home

1
Goaltending
Devon Levi
GOALTENDER

Devon Levi

#27 | Goaltender
@
Darcy Kuemper
GOALTENDER

Darcy Kuemper

#35 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Devon Levi None-None 1.01 0.975 --
Darcy Kuemper None-None 9.00 0.571 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.01 Ldr GAA 9.00
0.975 Ldr Save % 0.571
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
60%
📊
KINGS
40%
▲ Edge: +5.40% (EDM)
OILERS 55% Book Odds: -121
KINGS 48% Book Odds: +109
Book Implied: 54.80% / 47.80%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.5
Projected
Book Total
6.0
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +2.5 (Over)
Over 6.0 86%
Under 6.0 14%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.5
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
OilersEDM (-1.5) 0 KingsLA (+1.5)
Line aligns with book spread (+1.5)
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Oilers Cover

22.7%

Kings Cover

77.3%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around LA +1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LA)

EDM By 1 goal

19.1%

EDM By 2-3 goals

34.1%

LA By 1 goal

9.2%

LA By 2-3 goals

6.1%

AI Model Projected Score
5
EDMONTON
Book Implied: 3.80
3.5
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 2.20
Simulated Score
3
EDMONTON
Book Implied: 3.80
4
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 2.20
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Oilers Win
60% Win Prob
C
Sim Kings Loss
69% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Kings (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: +1.5
D
Sim Kings (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI o6.0 Loss
Proj Total: 8.5
A
Sim o6.0 Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 13, 2026 EDM @ LA 4 - 1
Apr 11, 2026 EDM @ LA 0 - 1
Feb 26, 2026 EDM @ LA 8 - 1
Jan 10, 2026 LA @ EDM 4 - 3
May 1, 2025 LA @ EDM 4 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +26.5% more
Edmonton: 27.5 vs Los Angeles: 20.2
Faceoff % (L5) +3.8%
Edmonton: 56.4% vs Los Angeles: 52.6%
Blocked Shots (L5) +17.2% more
Los Angeles: 14.3 vs Edmonton: 12.2
Takeaways (L5) +14.8% more
Los Angeles: 4.4 vs Edmonton: 3.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EDM Score 5.0 4
LA Score 3.5 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 14.3 / 12.2 11.0 / 18.0
Faceoff % 52.6 / 56.4 58.2 / 41.8
Hits 20.2 / 27.5 27.0 / 21.0
Power Play % 21.0 / 14.4 0.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal 27.8 / 25.0 40.0 / 16.0
Takeaways 4.4 / 3.8 3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -120 / +100 → -121 / +109 ↓
74%TICKETS26%
94%MONEY6%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5 → -1.5 / +1.5
45%TICKETS55%
51%MONEY49%
Total (O/U)
Open: 6.5 → 6 ↓
95%TICKETS5%
99%MONEY1%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LA
EDM
LA
EDM
ML
46% 6-7
57% 8-6
46% 6-7
57% 8-6
ATS
54% 7-6
57% 8-6
77% 10-3
43% 6-8
TTL
23% 3-10
7% 1-13
31% 4-9
36% 5-9
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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