VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
6-2-0 | Road
5
NASHVILLE
PREDATORSNSH
2-2-2 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Adin Hill
#33 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Juuse Saros
#74 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adin Hill | None-None | 2.00 | 0.926 | -- |
| Juuse Saros | None-None | 5.00 | 0.800 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.00 Ldr
GAA
5.00
0.926 Ldr
Save %
0.800
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
56%
PREDATORS
44%
▲ Edge: +0.40% (VGK)
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
55%
Book Odds: -124
PREDATORS
47%
Book Odds: +112
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.5
Projected
Book Total
6.0
Over / Under Line
▼
Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 6.0
42%
Under 6.0
58%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.5
NASHVILLE
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around NSH +1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NSH)
VGK By 1 goal
19.1%
VGK By 2-3 goals
34.1%
NSH By 1 goal
9.2%
NSH By 2-3 goals
6.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Vegas
3.5
VEGAS
Book Implied: 3.80
Nashville
2
NASHVILLE
Book Implied: 2.20
Simulated Score
Vegas
2
VEGAS
Book Implied: 3.80
Nashville
3
NASHVILLE
Book Implied: 2.20
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Golden Knights
Win
56% Win Prob
D
Sim
Predators
Loss
69% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Predators (-1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.5
D
Sim
Predators (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI
u6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 5.5
C
Sim
u6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 13, 2026
VGK @ NSH
5 - 2
Mar 21, 2026
VGK @ NSH
1 - 4
Jan 17, 2026
NSH @ VGK
2 - 7
Dec 31, 2025
NSH @ VGK
4 - 2
Apr 12, 2025
NSH @ VGK
3 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+31.8% more
Vegas: 30.3
vs
Nashville: 20.7
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.8%
Vegas: 51.8%
vs
Nashville: 47.0%
Takeaways (L5)
+58.3% more
Nashville: 6.0
vs
Vegas: 3.8
Blocked Shots (L5)
+36.8% more
Nashville: 18.6
vs
Vegas: 13.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VGK Score
3.5
5
NSH Score
2.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
18.6 / 13.6
8.0 / 19.0
Faceoff %
47.0 / 51.8
46.2 / 53.8
Hits
24.4 / 21.1
25.0 / 13.0
Power Play %
3586.0 / 2447.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
20.7 / 30.3
27.0 / 25.0
Takeaways
6.0 / 3.8
5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -130 / +110
→
-124 / +112
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5
→
-1.5 / +1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 6.5
→
6
↓
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NSH
VGK
NSH
VGK
ML
57%
8-6
67%
10-5
43%
6-8
53%
8-7
ATS
21%
3-11
47%
7-8
71%
10-4
67%
10-5
TTL
50%
7-7
33%
5-10
50%
7-7
40%
6-9
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