COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
4-2-0 | Road
3
DALLAS
STARSDAL
2-3-1 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Mackenzie Blackwood
#39 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jake Oettinger
#29 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Blackwood | None-None | 2.00 | 0.923 | -- |
| Jake Oettinger | None-None | 3.10 | 0.880 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.00 Ldr
GAA
3.10
0.923 Ldr
Save %
0.880
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
66%
STARS
34%
▲ Edge: +18% (COL)
AVALANCHE
48%
Book Odds: +107
STARS
54%
Book Odds: -118
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.5
Projected
Book Total
6.0
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +0.5 (Over)
Over 6.0
59%
Under 6.0
41%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
COLORADO
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around COL -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
COL By 1 goal
19.1%
COL By 2-3 goals
34.1%
DAL By 1 goal
9.2%
DAL By 2-3 goals
6.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
4
COLORADO
Book Implied: 2.20
Dallas
2.5
DALLAS
Book Implied: 3.80
Simulated Score
Colorado
3
COLORADO
Book Implied: 2.20
Dallas
2
DALLAS
Book Implied: 3.80
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Avalanche
Win
66% Win Prob
B
Sim
Avalanche
Win
70% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Avalanche (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.5
A
Sim
Avalanche (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
o6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 6.5
B
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 14, 2026
DAL @ COL
3 - 2
Oct 13, 2026
COL @ DAL
3 - 2
Apr 4, 2026
COL @ DAL
2 - 0
Mar 18, 2026
DAL @ COL
2 - 1
Mar 6, 2026
COL @ DAL
5 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+47.6% more
Colorado: 5.4
vs
Dallas: 2.8
Shots on Goal (L5)
+24.7% more
Colorado: 32.0
vs
Dallas: 24.1
Power Play % (L5)
+4.7%
Colorado: 15.8%
vs
Dallas: 11.1%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+50.5% more
Dallas: 19.1
vs
Colorado: 12.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
4.0
3
DAL Score
2.5
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
19.1 / 12.7
6.0 / 19.0
Faceoff %
53.9 / 50.9
64.3 / 35.7
Hits
22.0 / 18.5
26.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
11.1 / 15.8
100.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
24.1 / 32.0
26.0 / 25.0
Takeaways
2.8 / 5.4
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -108 / -112
→
+107 / -118
↑
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5
→
6
↑
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
COL
DAL
COL
ML
64%
9-5
57%
8-6
43%
6-8
50%
7-7
ATS
43%
6-8
57%
8-6
57%
8-6
50%
7-7
TTL
57%
8-6
29%
4-10
64%
9-5
79%
11-3
Contextual Game News
