Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Old Dominion @ Louisiana Tech ODU @ LT

OLD DOMINION

OLD DOMINIONODU

2-6  |  Road

0
FINAL
Sat, Oct 24 • 5:00 PM ET
Joe Aillet Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOUISIANA TECH

LOUISIANA TECHLT

5-2  |  Home

26
Key Game
Ian Brandt
KEY GAME

Ian Brandt

#96 | Punter
@
Lexington Matthews
KEY GAME

Lexington Matthews

#29 | Punter
Player
Ian Brandt None-None
Lexington Matthews None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
OLD DOMINION
31%
📊
LOUISIANA TECH
69%
▲ Edge: +11.80% (ODU)
OLD DOMINION 20% Book Odds: +410
LOUISIANA TECH 85% Book Odds: -549
Book Implied: 19.60% / 84.60%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
55.6
Projected
Book Total
43.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +12.1 (Over)
Over 43.5 74%
Under 43.5 26%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+8.0
OLD DOMINION
Book Spread
+13.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.5 points (Old Dominion)
Old DominionODU (+13.5) 0 Louisiana TechLT (-13.5)
Old Dominion Monarchs (+13.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Old Dominion Cover

71.6%

Louisiana Tech Cover

28.4%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around ODU +8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ODU)

ODU By 1-6 points

12.2%

ODU By 7-13 points

8.8%

LT By 1-6 points

16.1%

LT By 7-13 points

19.5%

AI Model Projected Score
23.8
OLD DOMINION
Book Implied: 15
31.8
LOUISIANA TECH
Book Implied: 28.50
Simulated Score
19
OLD DOMINION
Book Implied: 15
38
LOUISIANA TECH
Book Implied: 28.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Louisiana Tech Win
69% Win Prob
A
Sim Louisiana Tech Win
97% Win Prob
A
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Old Dominion (+13.5) Loss
Proj Spread: +8.0
B
Sim Louisiana Tech (-13.5) Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI o43.5 Loss
Proj Total: 55.6
A
Sim o43.5 Loss
Proj Total: 57.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 24, 2026 ODU @ LT 0 - 26
Oct 30, 2021 LT @ ODU 20 - 23
Nov 22, 2014 LT @ ODU 27 - 30
Key Model Drivers
Total Yards (L5) +48.6% more
Louisiana Tech: 398.0 vs Old Dominion: 267.9
Rushing Yards (L5) +45.1% more
Louisiana Tech: 166.7 vs Old Dominion: 114.9
First Downs (L5) +38.8% more
Louisiana Tech: 21.1 vs Old Dominion: 15.2
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +14.0% more
Louisiana Tech: 0.5 vs Old Dominion: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ODU Score 23.8 0
LT Score 31.8 26
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 21.1 / 15.2 24.0 / 13.0
Rushing Yards 166.7 / 114.9 136.0 / -13.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.3 0.58 / 0.38
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.66 / 0.34
Total Yards 398.0 / 267.9 438.0 / 141.0
Turnovers 1.3 / 2.1 0.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +260 / -325 → +410 / -549 ↑
3%TICKETS97%
55%MONEY45%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +8.5 / -8.5 → +13.5 / -13.5 ↑
53%TICKETS47%
56%MONEY44%
Total (O/U)
Open: 44.5 → 43.5 ↓
59%TICKETS41%
48%MONEY52%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ODU
2-7-0 (22.2%)
Margin: -11.4 ATS +/-: -10.1
LT Advantage
6-2-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 11.8 ATS +/-: +8.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ODU
1-8-0 (11.1%)
Margin: -11.4 ATS +/-: -10.1
LT Advantage
7-1-0 (87.5%)
Margin: 11.8 ATS +/-: +8.3
⚖️ Over/Under
ODU
4-5-0
O: 44.4% / U: 55.6% Total +/-: -3.1
LT
5-3-0
O: 62.5% / U: 37.5% Total +/-: +1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LT
ODU
LT
ODU
ML
100% 8-0
56% 5-4
50% 4-4
44% 4-5
ATS
38% 3-5
22% 2-7
50% 4-4
56% 5-4
TTL
50% 4-4
33% 3-6
62% 5-3
44% 4-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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