Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Virginia Tech @ Clemson VT @ CLEM

VIRGINIA TECH

VIRGINIA TECHVT

6-2  |  Road

20
FINAL
Sat, Oct 24 • 7:00 PM ET
Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
View Odds Details →

CLEMSON

CLEMSONCLEM

4-3  |  Home

16
Key Game
John Love
KEY GAME

John Love

#17 | Place kicker
@
Jack Smith
KEY GAME

Jack Smith

#89 | Punter
Player
John Love None-None
Jack Smith None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
VIRGINIA TECH
37%
📊
CLEMSON
63%
▲ Edge: +3.70% (CLEM)
VIRGINIA TECH 44% Book Odds: +130
CLEMSON 59% Book Odds: -144
Book Implied: 43.50% / 59%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
53.5
Projected
Book Total
50.0
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +3.5 (Over)
Over 50.0 57%
Under 50.0 43%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.5
CLEMSON
Book Spread
-3
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.5 points (Clemson)
Virginia TechVT (+3) 0 ClemsonCLEM (-3)
Clemson Tigers (-3) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Virginia Tech Cover

34.7%

Clemson Cover

65.3%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around CLEM -5.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLEM)

VT By 1-6 points

13.8%

VT By 7-13 points

10.8%

CLEM By 1-6 points

16.8%

CLEM By 7-13 points

18.8%

AI Model Projected Score
24
VIRGINIA TECH
Book Implied: 23.50
29.5
CLEMSON
Book Implied: 26.50
Simulated Score
29
VIRGINIA TECH
Book Implied: 23.50
26
CLEMSON
Book Implied: 26.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Clemson Loss
63% Win Prob
C
Sim Virginia Tech Win
62% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Clemson (-3) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.5
C
Sim Virginia Tech (+3) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI o50.0 Loss
Proj Total: 53.5
C
Sim o50.0 Loss
Proj Total: 55.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 24, 2026 VT @ CLEM 20 - 16
Nov 9, 2024 CLEM @ VT 24 - 14
Dec 5, 2020 CLEM @ VT 45 - 10
Sep 30, 2017 CLEM @ VT 31 - 17
Dec 3, 2016 CLEM @ VT 42 - 35
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +46.4% more
Clemson: 1.8 vs Virginia Tech: 1.3
Rushing Yards (L5) +18.8% more
Clemson: 167.1 vs Virginia Tech: 140.7
Total Yards (L5) +10.1% more
Virginia Tech: 419.7 vs Clemson: 377.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
VT Score 24.0 20
CLEM Score 29.5 16
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 23.2 / 21.8 15.0 / 19.0
Rushing Yards 167.1 / 140.7 135.0 / 70.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.21 / 0.33
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.46 / 0.54
Total Yards 377.2 / 419.7 288.0 / 234.0
Turnovers 1.8 / 1.3 0.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -105 / -115 → +130 / -144 ↑
25%TICKETS75%
46%MONEY54%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5 → +3 / -3 ↑
46%TICKETS54%
43%MONEY57%
Total (O/U)
Open: 49.5 → 50 ↑
70%TICKETS30%
62%MONEY38%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
VT Advantage
6-3-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 10.3 ATS +/-: -1.1
CLEM
5-3-0 (62.5%)
Margin: 1.6 ATS +/-: -3.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
VT Advantage
5-4-0 (55.6%)
Margin: 10.3 ATS +/-: -1.1
CLEM
3-5-0 (37.5%)
Margin: 1.6 ATS +/-: -3.6
⚖️ Over/Under
VT
6-3-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +5.7
CLEM
4-4-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -5.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLEM
VT
CLEM
VT
ML
62% 5-3
67% 6-3
75% 6-2
67% 6-3
ATS
50% 4-4
44% 4-5
50% 4-4
44% 4-5
TTL
50% 4-4
11% 1-8
62% 5-3
56% 5-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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