ANAHEIM
DUCKSANA
4-1-0 | Road
4
CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
0-5-0 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ville Husso
#33 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Dustin Wolf
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ville Husso | None-None | 2.00 | 0.931 | -- |
| Dustin Wolf | None-None | 4.20 | 0.857 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.00 Ldr
GAA
4.20
0.931 Ldr
Save %
0.857
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
DUCKS
69%
FLAMES
31%
▲ Edge: +15.30% (ANA)
DUCKS
54%
Book Odds: -115
FLAMES
49%
Book Odds: +105
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.5
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
Over 6.5
49%
Under 6.5
51%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.5
CALGARY
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CGY +1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CGY)
ANA By 1 goal
19.1%
ANA By 2-3 goals
34.1%
CGY By 1 goal
9.2%
CGY By 2-3 goals
6.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Anaheim
4
ANAHEIM
Book Implied: 4
Calgary
2.5
CALGARY
Book Implied: 2.50
Simulated Score
Anaheim
2
ANAHEIM
Book Implied: 4
Calgary
4
CALGARY
Book Implied: 2.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
Ducks
Win
69% Win Prob
A
Sim
Flames
Loss
84% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Flames (-1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.5
D
Sim
Flames (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.5
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 13, 2026
CGY @ ANA
4 - 2
Oct 10, 2026
ANA @ CGY
4 - 2
Apr 4, 2026
CGY @ ANA
5 - 3
Mar 26, 2026
ANA @ CGY
3 - 2
Mar 1, 2026
CGY @ ANA
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+23.7% more
Anaheim: 16.4
vs
Calgary: 12.5
Hits (L5)
+16.6% more
Anaheim: 28.1
vs
Calgary: 23.5
Takeaways (L5)
+30.6% more
Calgary: 4.0
vs
Anaheim: 3.1
Shots on Goal (L5)
+29.6% more
Calgary: 28.0
vs
Anaheim: 21.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ANA Score
4.0
4
CGY Score
2.5
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.5 / 16.4
15.0 / 23.0
Faceoff %
47.9 / 46.0
50.7 / 49.3
Hits
23.5 / 28.1
24.0 / 27.0
Power Play %
18.5 / 17.5
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
28.0 / 21.6
29.0 / 28.0
Takeaways
4.0 / 3.1
4.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -135 / +114
→
-115 / +105
↑
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5
→
-1.5 / +1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 6.5
→
6.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CGY
ANA
CGY
ANA
ML
42%
5-7
33%
4-8
50%
6-6
58%
7-5
ATS
33%
4-8
25%
3-9
50%
6-6
50%
6-6
TTL
55%
6-5-1
55%
6-5-1
36%
4-7-1
45%
5-6-1
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