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COLUMBUS

BLUE JACKETSCBJ

2-2-0  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sat, Oct 10 • 7:00 PM ET
Enterprise Center
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ST. LOUIS

BLUESSTL

2-2-1  |  Home

5
Goaltending
Jet Greaves
GOALTENDER

Jet Greaves

#73 | Goaltender
@
Jordan Binnington
GOALTENDER

Jordan Binnington

#50 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jet Greaves None-None 4.08 0.846 --
Jordan Binnington None-None 3.00 0.870 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
4.08 GAA Ldr 3.00
0.846 Save % Ldr 0.870
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE JACKETS
64%
📊
BLUES
36%
▲ Edge: +12.90% (CBJ)
BLUE JACKETS 51% Book Odds: -105
BLUES 54% Book Odds: -115
Book Implied: 51.20% / 53.50%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
5.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +1.5 (Over)
Over 5.5 74%
Under 5.5 26%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
COLUMBUS
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.9 points (Columbus)
Blue JacketsCBJ (+1.5) 0 BluesSTL (-1.5)
Columbus Blue Jackets (+1.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blue Jackets Cover

75.8%

Blues Cover

24.2%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CBJ -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CBJ)

CBJ By 1 goal

19.4%

CBJ By 2-3 goals

33.3%

STL By 1 goal

9.8%

STL By 2-3 goals

6.6%

AI Model Projected Score
4.2
COLUMBUS
Book Implied: 2
2.8
ST. LOUIS
Book Implied: 3.50
Simulated Score
4
COLUMBUS
Book Implied: 2
5
ST. LOUIS
Book Implied: 3.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Blue Jackets Loss
64% Win Prob
B
Sim Blues Win
69% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Blue Jackets (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.4
A
Sim Blue Jackets (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: +1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI o5.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
A
Sim o5.5 Win
Proj Total: 9.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 10, 2026 CBJ @ STL 3 - 5
Jan 31, 2026 CBJ @ STL 5 - 3
Nov 1, 2025 STL @ CBJ 2 - 3
Sep 21, 2025 STL @ CBJ 1 - 4
Jan 11, 2025 CBJ @ STL 2 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +43.1% more
Columbus: 6.2 vs St. Louis: 3.5
Blocked Shots (L5) +30.7% more
Columbus: 16.4 vs St. Louis: 11.4
Power Play % (L5) +18.5%
Columbus: 29.6% vs St. Louis: 11.1%
Faceoff % (L5) +13.1%
Columbus: 59.2% vs St. Louis: 46.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CBJ Score 4.2 3
STL Score 2.8 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 11.4 / 16.4 8.0 / 19.0
Faceoff % 46.1 / 59.2 41.7 / 58.3
Hits 23.6 / 19.3 12.0 / 17.0
Power Play % 1111.0 / 2964.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 25.9 / 29.2 27.0 / 23.0
Takeaways 3.5 / 6.2 5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +105 / -125 → -105 / -115 ↓
53%TICKETS47%
56%MONEY44%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5 → +1.5 / -1.5
78%TICKETS22%
65%MONEY35%
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5 → 5.5
86%TICKETS14%
91%MONEY9%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
CBJ
STL
CBJ
ML
50% 6-6
30% 3-7
67% 8-4
80% 8-2
ATS
42% 5-7
30% 3-7
50% 6-6
70% 7-3
TTL
27% 3-8-1
50% 5-5
73% 8-3-1
40% 4-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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