CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
4-1-1 | Road
5
CHICAGO
BLACKHAWKSCHI
1-5-0 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Brandon Bussi
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Spencer Knight
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Bussi | None-None | 2.02 | 0.923 | -- |
| Spencer Knight | None-None | 5.19 | 0.872 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.02 Ldr
GAA
5.19
0.923 Ldr
Save %
0.872
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
74%
BLACKHAWKS
26%
▲ Edge: +2.20% (CAR)
HURRICANES
72%
Book Odds: -258
BLACKHAWKS
32%
Book Odds: +210
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.5
Projected
Book Total
5.5
Over / Under Line
Over 5.5
49%
Under 5.5
51%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.5
CHICAGO
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CHI +1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
CAR By 1 goal
19.1%
CAR By 2-3 goals
34.1%
CHI By 1 goal
9.2%
CHI By 2-3 goals
6.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Carolina
3.5
CAROLINA
Book Implied: 3.50
Chicago
2
CHICAGO
Book Implied: 2
Simulated Score
Carolina
2
CAROLINA
Book Implied: 3.50
Chicago
4
CHICAGO
Book Implied: 2
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
Hurricanes
Win
74% Win Prob
A
Sim
Blackhawks
Loss
84% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blackhawks (-1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.5
D
Sim
Blackhawks (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI
u5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.5
D
Sim
o5.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 10, 2026
CAR @ CHI
5 - 2
Apr 9, 2026
CAR @ CHI
7 - 2
Jan 22, 2026
CHI @ CAR
4 - 3
Jan 30, 2025
CHI @ CAR
2 - 3
Jan 20, 2025
CAR @ CHI
4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+39.1% more
Carolina: 25.0
vs
Chicago: 15.2
Power Play % (L5)
+35.7%
Carolina: 46.8%
vs
Chicago: 11.1%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+31.8% more
Carolina: 31.0
vs
Chicago: 21.2
Takeaways (L5)
+17.8% more
Carolina: 4.2
vs
Chicago: 3.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CAR Score
3.5
5
CHI Score
2.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
10.9 / 11.7
12.0 / 11.0
Faceoff %
41.9 / 50.2
44.4 / 55.6
Hits
15.2 / 25.0
13.0 / 12.0
Power Play %
1111.0 / 4683.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
21.2 / 31.0
26.0 / 39.0
Takeaways
3.5 / 4.2
5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -218 / +180
→
-258 / +210
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5
→
-1.5 / +1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5
→
5.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
CAR
CHI
CAR
ML
67%
8-4
79%
11-3
58%
7-5
43%
6-8
ATS
58%
7-5
50%
7-7
67%
8-4
57%
8-6
TTL
36%
4-7-1
38%
5-8-1
64%
7-4-1
54%
7-6-1
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